Hi Guys,

From Monday 26th January, Trading Tips are sent by mail only. If you don’t get the mails, please contact me using the link above with the email you wish to add to the list and I’ll do it for you. 

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CHART

Given how well our betting tips performed in 2014, many members suggested that a 10% Ratchet (cumulative) Staking Plan would be easily successful using my tips. Firstly, this is a very high risk plan, so I would never do it with my full bankroll!! I got in touch with a couple of members who contacted me to say this plan would have been very successful if implemented. I asked them to trial the plan for me – I only got one brave reply!! Chris has offered to put his money on the line - all of his €173.23 Betfair bankroll will be used for the trial.
What he’s doing, under my instruction, is as follows:
a) Betting 10% of his bank on each tip, no matter what the odds. Sometimes I recommend half stakes for tips with higher odds. For this challenge, the stake will ALWAYS be 10%.
b) Stakes will never be reduced, only increased. So the first stake will be €17.32. If that loses, Chris will have €155.91 left in his bank, but will continue to use €17.32 stakes until his bank goes over the original €173.23, at which point, stakes will increase accordingly.
c) Tips cannot be missed – all tips must be played.
d) No part of the balance can be withdrawn before November 1st
e) Challenge will run until end October into November 2015 - any tournaments beginning in November will not be used for this challenge.
f) All bets placed on Betfair.
g) If there is more than one tip on any given day, the same stake will be used for each tip that day. So for example, on day 1 if I give 3 tips, use €17.32 for each tip.

Here is a screenshot of Day 1 Balance (main wallet):
betfair1

Again, I must emphasise the risks associated with this plan – if we have 10 consecutive losing bets, all money is gone!!! However, the benefits are very good when it works!! It’s a long term plan. It can only be judged after a full season. It also takes some bravery to follow through with the plan completely – betting 10% when the bank gets bigger is not for the faint hearted, and having 2/3/4 consecutive losses can be hard to take when betting with 10% stakes. Also, if you choose to take part in my challenge, do it with a small portion of your bank and treat it as a challenge!! A bit of fun…
We are working off last years figures, when we never suffered more than 3 consecutive losses. Two seasons are never the same – past performance is not indicative of future performance.
So take the challenge if you wish, or just keep track of Chris’s performance for a while. I will apportion a small part of my bank too and play along. If anyone has any questions about the plan, contact me. I will update this page as often as I can with results and current balances.

Update 8/1/15: After 6 successive wins at the start of the season, bank is now 224.63 (up from 173.32), and we are using 22.46 stakes, bank increased by 29.7%. Remember, our stakes will never decrease from this amount, even if we suffer losses, which is inevitable at some stage I suppose! It would take 3 successive losses to put us below our starting bank, which is a nice cushion to have so early in the season. If we manage to get to the luxury of doubling our original starting bank, we will have the luxury of 5 consecutive losses before our original bank is under threat. 

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Update 9/1/15: Our first loss of the season brings our bank down to 202.17, but still in healthy profit situation of +16.7%. We will continue to use 22.46 stakes until we get above our current peak bank of 224.63.

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Update 11/1/15: Two wins in a row brings our bank to a new high of 226.9, meaning we will now be using 22.69 stakes for the next bet. One thing I have to point out is that Chris was unable to place his bet on the 10th. In order to keep the stats straight, we decided it would be best to lodge the winning amount into Betfair (11.90) and continue as normal. I will update again in a couple of days. 

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Update 13/1/15 : One void tip on 12th and another win today takes our bank to another new high of 237.58, up 37.1% from our original starting bank of 173.23.

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Update 17/1/15 :Our bank now stands at a new high peak of 259.61, that’s a return on 49.9% on our original bank. Will use 25.96 stakes from now on. Image below shows last 5 bets up to 17/1/15.

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Update 20/1/15 : A couple of up and down days leaves our bank at 231.92, still in healthy profit of 33.9%. 

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Update 22/1/15 : Two winners today (Cibulkova and Johnson) bring our bank to 250.75, up 44.7%. We haven’t surpassed our peak of 259.61, but hopefully todays tip will do the trick!! I’ll update tomorrow with the result. Been a great month so far, considering January can be a difficult month for tipping as players begin the new season and try to find their feet. Consistency is not always evident, but we’ve managed to find some great value tips, and strike rate over 70% makes it good so far..

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Update 24/1/15 : Three wins today brings our bank to a new peak of 271.20 (Main Wallet below), representing 56.6% growth on starting bank. Chris (whose betfair account were using for the challenge) sent me a comment with the images:

‘Hi Patrick. Amazing results so far. To earn €100 from a starting bank of €173 in such a short time is brilliant. On my main Pinnacle bank, using your 5% flat staking plan, I’m up 25% so far this month on top of this (almost €400). Thats €500 in 3 weeks!! Long may it continue!!’

We will be using 27.12 stakes for the next bets. 

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Update 27/1/15 : Winner on Womens Doubles today brings our bank up to 285.66, now with 64% growth in bank since just the 4th January. Looking at the figures, we have now made a profit of 112.43 from a starting bank of 173.23, which is a fantastic return. We are now using 28.57 stakes, which gives us the luxury of 4 consecutive losses before our original bank is under any threat. A word of warning as always – the returns are brilliant but the risk is always present when using this type of plan. If you were following my normal 5% flat staking plan you would have a profit of 28.5%, giving you the luxury of 6 losses before your bank is under any threat. Use this staking plan with caution!!

ratchet1

Here is a link to stats for this plan: http://1drv.ms/1yf0XaS

new04 (1)

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All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 9:

WOMEN:

1. 01:30 – Bouchard v Sharapova

Bouchard’s serve stats have been really impressive throughout this tournament. Also, considering, she did beat Serena in the Hopman cup prior to this Grand Slam, I feel her confidence must be on the high coming into this match.

I’m suggesting to lay Maria here as I feel the Canadian can produce an upset here..

—> Lay Maria @1.39, back @1.65

MENS:

2. 02:45 – Berdych v Nadal [click to continue…]

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All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 7:

WOMEN:

1. 01:15 – Peng v Sharapova

Peng’s form at the moment has been very impressive. I thought Shvedova was going to be a huge challenge for her but somehow she managed to win that match in straight sets after saving a lot of set points.
As a great defensive player, I’m going to suggest to lay Maria here..

—> Lay Sharapova @1.16, back @1.5

MEN:

2. 03:00 – Anderson v Nadal [click to continue…]

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Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: Australian Open Day 6

January 23, 2015

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm: PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 6: WOMEN: 1. 00:00 – Giorgi v V.Williams Venus serves are a bit of a concern at […]

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Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: Australian Open Day 5

January 22, 2015

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Tennis Betting Tips Results January 2015

January 22, 2015

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January 21, 2015

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm: PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 4: WOMEN: 1. 00:00 – Muguruza v Hantuchova –> HOT TIP As per form and serve stats, […]

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Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: Australian Open Day 3

January 20, 2015

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm: PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 3: WOMEN: 1. 00:00 – Koukalova v Goerges: Goerges blew away Bencic in the first round and […]

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Tennis Trading Tips Stats: Aussie Open Days 1 & 2

January 20, 2015

All profits are calculated for a Back/Lay LIABILITY Stake of 10 units.  AUS OPEN DAY 1: ( +3.95 units) 1. Ito v Klizan: TIP: Back Klizan @1.4, lay @1.18 Successful: +1.85 units 2. Melzer v Estrella Burgos: TIP: Back Melzer @1.45, lay @1.14 Successful: +2.7 units 3. Jaziri v Kukushkin : TIP: Back Kuku @1.44, […]

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