Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: ATP WTA Monday 16th March

These tips are published when all have been played – in order to get today’s tips, join by clicking here and I’ll mail them to you!! To see stats and results, please click on the ‘TRADING STATS’ link above. 

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

BNP PARIBAS:

MEN:

1. 19:30 – Murray v Kohlschreiber –> HOT TIP

Since losing to Coric in Dubai, Andy has looked back in form. 

Overall, I agree with the price here as Andy deserves to be a huge favourite.

—> Back Andy @1.16, lay @1.05

2. 21:30 – Isner v Anderson

Head to head stat indicate a 7-3 lead to the American Isner here.

Since both players are reliant on their serves, I prefer picking the better server who is definitely Isner. Odds of 1.9 looks a bit high considering John has won his last 3 matches against the South African.

—> Back Isner @1.9, lay @1.5

3. 22:45 – Tomic v Ferrer –> HOT TIP

Since losing to Nishikori at the Australian Open, Ferrer has been on fire, winning back to back tournaments at Rio de Janeiro (clay) and Acapulco (hard).
Including his win over Dodig in Indian Wells, that would make his winning streak to 11.

Another important stat, the Spaniard won at Doha (hard) as well, beating Berdych in the Final, earlier this year.

Everything points to David doing well here!

—> Back Ferrer @1.36, lay @1.14

WOMEN:

4. 18:00 – Bouchard v Vandeweghe

This one has the potential to go to a 3rd set as Vandeweghe isn’t a bad player by any means. However, through her experience and consistency, regardless of the surface or conditions, Eugenie should get the check marks here. I favour the Canadian to do better..

—> Back Bouchard @1.3, lay @1.07

5. 18:00 – Cornet v Tsurenko –> HOT TIP

The Ukranian has really stepped up her serves recently and look like a decent threat for some top seeds in this tourney.

Cornet’s inconsistency is always visible through her serves as the match progresses.
Considering Alize has never faced Tsurenko before, I feel this one has a good money making potential so choosing to lay the French girl.

—> Lay Cornet @1.8, back @2.65

6. 23:15 – Ivanovic v Garcia

Normally I would go for Ivanovic here as she’s one of the best hard court players out there when she’s on fire. But Garcia gave me more than a good impression in their latest encounter at Monterrey, Mexico.

I am therefore choosing to lay the Serbian here as this may not be as easy for Ana as the bookies make out.

—> Lay Ivanovic @1.39, back @1.8

7. 00:45 – Pennetta v Stosur

Amazing that with all her serves and show of power, Sam Stosur has never beaten the Italian before. Pennetta leads her by a huge 7-0 margin in fact!

Considering the Italian’s form has been pretty decent, beating players like Goerges and Kerber in Dubai, I am favouring Flavia today.

—> Back Pennetta @1.8, lay @1.4

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at http://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

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