Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: Australian Open Day 4

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 4:

WOMEN:

1. 00:00 – Muguruza v Hantuchova –> HOT TIP

As per form and serve stats, Muguruza is definitely the better player and deserves to be a heavy favourite here. Go for the Spaniard who is likely to have a good run in Australia.

—> Back Mugu @1.23, lay @1.08

2. 01:15 – Giorgi v Smitkova

One of the dark horses this year could be the Czech Smitkova. She hammered Lucic Baroni 6-1 6-1 in the last match which is a big statement. Giorgi started slowly against Pennetta and does take some time to adapt to the conditions. I’m favouring Smitkova to start better.

—> LAY Giorgi @1.75, back @2.5

3. 01:30 – Cibulkova v Pironkova —> HOT TIP

Pironkova’s form has been good prior to Australian Open but I do wonder if she is going to be a huge threat to last year’s finalist as she won against an injury ridden Watson in her opening round.
On the contrary, after losing the first set, Cibu stormed back to thrash Belgian Flipkens in the last match. If she gets her serves going, watch out for this girl who is good enough to cause some big upsets this year.

—> Back Cibu @1.78, lay @1.34

4. 04:00 – Falconi v Brengle

Falconi came through a tough match against Kanepi last time and Brengle shocked Petkovic in a thriller. I feel Brengle is the better player off these two at the moment as her form suggests from the recent Hobart tournament.

Back Brengle @1.3, lay @1.14

5. 08:00 – Azarenka v Wozniacki

By form Wozniacki is definitely on the up. As well as Aza played against Stephens, I think Wozniacki is the right favourite here who has a 5-3 head to head lead against the Belarusian.

—> Back Woz @1.78, lay @1.4

MENS:

6. 00:00 – Lopez v Mannarino

Mannarino is probably enjoying one of his best starts to a season. I’m fancying Lopez to have a lot of trouble tomorrow in this very tough to call match.

—> Lay Lopez @1.95, back @2.4

7. 00:00 – Giraldo v Johnson –> HOT TIP

The better server off these two is definitely the American. Go for him to start strongly.

Back Johnson @1.54, lay @1.25

8. 6:30 – Janowicz v Monfils –> HOT TIP

Monfils had a tough encounter against compatriot Pouille in the first round but came through eventually. In terms of overall strenghts, I must go for the Frenchman here who does have a 1-0 lead against the Pole.

Back Monfils @1.41, lay @1.18

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at http://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

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