Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: Australian Open Day 5

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 5:

WOMEN:

1. 00:00 – Errani v Wickmayer

As good as Errani can be on hard courts, she has always had a weak serve. Wickmayer does have power and a decent serve so this could be much more interesting than the odds suggest.

—> Lay Errani @1.47, back @1.85

2. 00:00 – Pliskova v Makarova

Pliskova had the tougher opponents so far at the Open. She’s probably the better server of these two so I’m gonna say, laying Maka is the right strategy at the start.

—> Lay Makarova @1.81, back @2.4

(I’m suggesting to keep the stakes low here)

3. 01:15 – Bouchard v Garcia

I just can’t see Garcia getting through this one as Eugenie Bouchard has been playing on a complete different level. She has the serve, the power and above all, the determination to win. As good as Garcia can serve, you simply have to favour the Canadian here as per current form.

Back Bouchard @1.26, lay @1.06

4. 01:15 – Witthoeft v Begu —> HOT TIP

This is the ‘TRADE OF THE DAY‘ for me.

By odds, Begu is the favourite and indeed, she has beaten some quality players, especially Kerber in the first round. However, I must say that Witthoeft is the player that has most impressed me thus far in the Womens draw. The biggest attribute to her game is her serve which has been consistently good as she blew away both Navarro and McHale (both very good hard court players) in stunning fashion. I must say I have to disagree with the bookies here and see a win for the underdog.

Suggesting to LAY HEAVY (our first LH tip of this year!) on Begu..

—> LAY HEAVY Begu @1.85, back @3

5. 08:00 – Diyas v Sharapova

Sharapova came very close to getting knocked out by Panova last round. If she wants another challenge, I think she has got it tomorrow through Zarina Diyas.

I’ve already tipped this Kazakh girl to do well this year and feel there is a possible upset on the cards.

Having said that, I am suggesting to keep the stakes low here. If the real Maria turns up this could be over in 2 sets. On the other hand, if a less impressive Maria comes into play, Diyas will give her a proper match.

Since the odds are very low here, I am suggesting to lay the Russian.

—> Lay Maria Sharapova @1.13, back @1.4

MENS:

6. 06:00 – Tomic v Groth –> HOT TIP

Tomic’s win over Kohlschreiber was really impressive. I just have to give him the edge here as he has served brilliantly thus far.

—> Back Tomic @1.36, lay @1.14

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at http://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

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