Betfair Tennis Trading – 17.02, Copa Telmex, Buenos Aires, Potito Starace – Tommy Robredo
February 24, 2009 by arcmdn
Filed under Trading Examples
Hello my fellow traders,
In this trading video you’ll see what potential break points pose when you’re trading tennis on Betfair. This is absolutely amazing – to make 43% from the stake in a single trade, don’t you think so?
Well, then listen to the reasoning behind my Betfair trading process and I bet you’ll come to understand the main principles and you can even try this approach yourself straight away after watching this video.
This is a match between Starace and Robredo in Copa Telmex tournament and I got to start following the match only in the middle of the first set. The favourite player Robredo lost the first set; however, despite that, he’s performing quite well right now.
You know – it’s not uncommon for a good player to lose the first set of the match and emerge the winner at the end; the first set doesn’t necessarily decide the result of the match.
Having quickly analyzed the scoring in the first seven games of the second set I came to a conclusion that Robredo performs better than the underdog and he can potentially break in the next game. He was very confident when serving and he also scored a few points when taking Starace’s serves. And, given the potential of break points in tennis trading, I decided to go ahead with opening the trade.
So the deciding factor for backing the favourite player in this case is his confident performance in the previous game and also in the game prior to the last one when he was the receiving player.
I’m placing the back bet at the odds of 1.78 before the next game has started and now I have to follow the match and watch the odds closely being ready to close the trade at any time should the market go against me.
The players score an even number of points each, until the favourite Robredo is just a point away from breaking in this game. And then he breaks and the break point makes the price shorten down to a measly 1.35!
The bet remains unmatched for a while, bet eventually the heavily backed favourite’s odds shorten and I’m making a huge 43 euro profit.
I guess I don’t need to make any additional comments. Break points are the way to go when you trade tennis on Betfair!
Talk to you soon again,
Paddy





Addy on Sun, 1st May 2011 10:34 pm
Thanks alot – your answer solved all my problems after seerval days struggling