Betfair Tennis Trading – Bartoli – Parmentier 25.05

June 15, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair TraderHere’s another video I shot for you, my fellow Betfair traders!

It’s the WTA tournament in Parris, and the match is being played between Bartoli and Parmentier. Bartoli is this match’s favourite and during the first set I just monitored the score occasionally without taking any action.

As it sometimes happens, the favourite player loses the first set and this is where one of my tennis trading strategies – Race Your Profits – kicks in!

It’s nothing too complicated – you just have to place a back bet on the player when the set is over. In this case I’m placing the bet at the odds of 2.28 using a hundred euro stake; and the bet gets easily matched.

Parmentier starts serving the first game of the second set but eventually he gets broken by Bartoli who’s gathered up and leads the game despite taking the serves. His price drops down to 1.74 and I could actually lay him right now making slightly more than 30 euro.

But I decide to follow the match into the next game as Bartoli seems to be quite confident and serving is much easier than taking the serves.

Both players are scoring an even number of points until the very end of the game when the favourite Bartoli gains the advantage and then finally wins the game point as well.

This enables me to close the trade with more than 35 euro profit – yet another proof of profitability of the Betfair tennis trading!

Betfair Tennis Trading – Madrid Masters – 12.05.09 – Tsonga – Ljubicec

May 22, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair TraderWhen trading on the Mutua Madrilena Masters tournament in Madrid I had an interesting trade which I’ll show you in the video below.

The favourite of this match is the French player Tsonga and at the beginning of the match his odds were around 1.55.

I didn’t do anything during the first set of the match but now comes a very interesting moment. The favourite player Tsonga loses the first set and his odds drift out to 2.52.

Now tell me – even if you don’t know anything about trading tennis on Betfair – isn’t odds 2.52 a bit too high for a favourite player who’s lost only the first set by 6 : 4 ?

Yes, the player is a underpriced at the moment and that’s why I’m backing him at the odds of 2.52 using a hundred euro stake.

And now comes the next set and also the time for more action and profiteering!

Tsonga scores the first game point in the second set and it’s very promising as his odds shorten to 2.2. However, the most volatile prices can be observed when one of the players is facing a break point – and that’s exactly what I want to see in the next game of this set.

So I backed the favourite after the first set at the odds of 2.52 and now I’m following the second game in the second set to see how the events unfold on the court.

The game is being played very evenly by each player scoring points in turn until the favourite is with the advantage and his odds have dropped to 1.9 enabling more than 32 euro profit. ;-)

This is exactly what I’m doing and I’m placing a lay bet on Tsonga by clicking on the ‘Current Close’ button on BetAngel Pro screen. In a few moments the profit is split between both players evenly and no matter what happens I’ll get my 32 euro when the match ends!

But now – the best part of this video. Just have a look at what happens with the favourite’s price in a few moments – when he scores the break point. Yes, it was the very moment I was looking forward to; however, I decided to leave the trade when Tsonga had the advantage as I had already reached the necessary profit threshold.

So have a look now – the price drops down to 1.6!

Do you think I’m very regretful about not keeping the trade open for a few more moments? Well, I can only say one thing – this is what separates a gambler from a trader!

It’s essential to judge the events on the court by listening to your inner voice and while I could have made by far bigger profit by waiting a few more moments, I still made 32% profit from the stake, which is not bad at all.

And most importantly – never allow yourself to slip into a habit of counting the money you didn’t make. You’re risking of starting keeping the trades open for too long which is the very opposite of why you’re trading tennis on Betfair – executing profitable trades! :!:

Talk to you soon,

Paddy

Betfair Tennis Trading – 7.04.09 – ATP Houston – Phau – Fish

April 22, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair Trader

Hello Folks!

In this video you’ll see a very healthy 67% profit made from a hundred euro stake when trading on a match between Phau and Fish in the ATP Houston tournament.

I’m going to use one of my favourite tennis trading strategies which is very simple yet also very effective. Basically all you need to know is – when to back and when to lay the favourite. Well, but then all the trades are quite simple in the essence, aren’t they?

So here you can see I’m backing the favourite player Fish at 2.51 after the first set. If you’re wandering why I’m opening the trade right now – visit Tennis Trading League right NOW! Read the first strategy explained there and you’ll understand why I’m backing the favourite when he’s one set down.

The next bet I’m placing is, of course, the lay bet. The ideal moment for closing the trade is when the favourite breaks in a game. When it happens at the end of the second set I can lay him at the odds of 1.5 making a whopping 67 euro profit!

Thanks and talk to you soon,

Paddy

Betfair Tennis Trading – 01.04.09 – WTA Miami – Williams – Li

April 20, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair TraderHi All!

Now I’m going to show you how I made nice 44 euro profit on a tennis match where many would probably lose as much. To be honest – I also was on the verge of trading out and taking a loss. However, Williams had to score just one point and the whole situation changed upside down and I could start reflecting on how to maximize the profits instead of minimizing the losses!

So here you can see that I’ve backed the favourite player Williams at the odds of 1.66 using a hundred euro stake. As you can see her price is shortening and I could make around 15 euro profit had I closed the trade at the current odds. But there’s an essential part of every trading strategy – and it’s the minimum necessary profit per trade. In other words – unless the odds have reached the critical level – don’t get out of the trade! :!:

Of course, no two tennis matches are the same and you always have to add that human factor to the trading process. But generally speaking – you just can’t afford closing the trades as soon as the odds are moving to your favour and taking big losses at the same time as you wait until the last moment if the price is going to opposite way.

The second match ends with a tiebreak and it’s a very special moment presenting many opportunities for traders. The price fluctuations are very large – especially if a player can win the whole match by winning the tiebreak.

In this tiebreak such a player is Na Li – if she wins the tiebreak, the match point is hers. Therefore I have to watch the game very closely in case if the underdog pushes Williams’s odds too high and the potential loss figure that’s showing in red gets too big.

But Williams manages to win this set point and the odds slip out of the critical zone. However, even by scoring the set point she doesn’t secure the minimum profit needed in this match. So I’m waiting a bit into the third set to see how the players perform. If Williams manages to break, it will most likely insure the profit margin I’ve calculated for this match.

And indeed – as Williams breaks in the third game of the third set, her odds shorten to 1.15 and I can close the trade with 44 euro profit!

Thanks and talk to you soon,

Paddy ;-)

Importance Of Receiving Players’ Points In Betfair Tennis Trading

February 25, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Hi folks, how’s your Betfair trading?

In this short video I’ll show you a couple of trades executed on the match between Clement and Safin in Open 13 and you’ll clearly see the importance of the receiving player’s scored points in a tennis match and the effect it has on the odds.

Safin is the match’s favourite player and at the moment the score in the first set is 3:1 with Clement leading the game. Safin’s odds have increased and the current odds favour Clement. Just have a look right under the score table where it says that Clement broke in the fourth game. It’s an indicator that Clement is in a very good condition at the moment and as we can see after the yellow square appearing next to Clement’s name, he’s serving right now.

So what should this tell you? Well, since he broke in the last game and has already scored two points in this game, there’s a very good change he’ll score at least one more point in this game. So you’d probably say I should execute the trade by backing Clement and then laying him off, right?

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Betfair Tennis Trading – 17.02, Open 13, Dimitrov – Simon

February 22, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Hello my fellow Betfair traders and those who want to become ones!

Now I’m going to show you another live trading example with one of my tennis trading systems – Race Your Profits – in action. And you’ll be able to see how I manage to execute a profitable trade in a second attempt after an unmatched bet has been cancelled.

You see – not always the trades are as easy as a piece of cake; sometimes the market goes against you, sometimes the bets simply get unmatched.

But regardless of these hampering factors, you have to master the right Betfair trader’s mindset and once you’ve acquired the peace of mind while trading – there’s nothing that could stop you on the way to making regular Betfair trading income!

So let’s see this trade and I’ll explain you all the bits and pieces!

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Betfair Tennis Trading in PBZ Zagreb Indoors 03.02

February 8, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Hi Folks!

In this trading video I’m going to show you that even I sometimes misjudge the course of the tennis game and incur that red figure on the screen!

Well, I’m just messing, I’ve stressed it many times over and over again – incurring loss is a normal part of Betfair tennis trading process. It happens to everyone! But when it comes to earning long term income, only those who can manage the losses and stay calm when the market goes against them, will succeed!

So have a look here at the match between Tursunov and Gulbis in Zagreb Indoors. So far the game has been quite even and despite Tursunov leading by 1 game point, Gulbis is still the favourite of the match. However, right now I’m going to lay him assuming that Tursunov has quite good prospects of scoring at least a few points in the next game. If you ask – why? – then here’s the answer – he scored nearly all points in the previous game, and that is some indicator to consider!

So I’m laying Gulbis at 1.84 using a hundred euro stake and the bet gets matched. Now I have to closely follow the match and see how Tursunov performs. Should Gulbis gain the advantage by more than two points in the next game, I’m going to immediately back him and exit the trade with a loss.

Betfair Tennis Trading Zagreb Indoors 2009

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What Does It Really Take To Trade Tennis Successfully?

November 27, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Successful Tennis Trading

While I’m off-season now with some time left till Christmas, I decided to give you some advice on how to best approach the Betfair tennis trading. You know – the mind stuff, how not to lose your head and start gambling instead of trading and those sort of things.

I’ve received plenty of e-mails from my customers who are very concerned about one thing in general.
They can grasp all the tennis trading concepts and apply them in the real life. However, staying focused and calm even if you’re forced to accept losses seems to be the hardest thing of them all. And even if you don’t want to, you start placing completely stupid bets and eventually all your Betfair account is dry empty.

So this is the first video where I’m telling you about the importance of controlling your emotions while trading tennis on Betfair.

I’ll try to update these videos every week until the new tennis season begins in January and the Australian Open starts.

Talk to you soon,
Paddy

*NEW* Betfair Tennis Trading System – Final Serve!

October 16, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Announcements

Hi Everyone,

I just wanted to show you the new Betfair tennis trading system’s cover here on the blog. So here it goes:

Betfair tennis trading

Why Final Serve? – you may ask. Well, it’s a kind of a clue, and by solving it you can answer the question – what this trading system is based on?

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Betfair Tennis Trading at Porsche Grand Prix tournament

October 13, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Usually the ladies tennis is more predictable than mens matches. For example, if a player loses the first set, you’ll see more men being able to win more games in the second set than women.

However, I don’t leave womens tournaments just because of this reason. Not at all!
I’ll show you now how I made easy 32 euro on a match between Azarenka and Radwanska at the Porsche Grand Prix tennis tournament in Germany.

Azarenka had won the first set of the match and many punters would say that she was a sure bet at that moment at the odds of 1.3. However, you always have to keep in mind that there are no such things as sure bets when it comes to gambling!

Using the same gamblers’ language I’d rather say that Radwanska was a very good value bet and very soon I could spot the right moment to take the advantage of it.

Betfair tennis trading

I layed Azarenka off at the odds of 1.31 – simply because there was almost no money to take at the other player. As you can see now, I’m 31 euro short should Azarenka win the match.

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