What does it take to Trade Tennis successfully?

May 27, 2011 by arcmdn  
Filed under Successful Tennis Trading

While I’m waiting for the next tournament, I decided to give you some advice on how to best approach the Betfair tennis trading. You know – the mind stuff, how not to lose your head and start gambling instead of trading and those sort of things.

I’ve received plenty of e-mails from my customers who are very concerned about one thing in general.
They can grasp all the tennis trading concepts and apply them in the real life. However, staying focused and calm even if you’re forced to accept losses seems to be the hardest thing of them all. And even if you don’t want to, you start placing completely stupid bets and eventually your Betfair account is dry.

So this is the first video about the importance of controlling your emotions while trading tennis on Betfair.

Please don’t underestimate the importance of these videos – they will make and save you money. Until next time!

Talk to you soon,
Paddy

Importance Of Receiving Players’ Points In Betfair Tennis Trading

February 25, 2010 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Hi folks, how’s your Betfair trading?

In this short video I’ll show you a couple of trades executed on the match between Clement and Safin in Open 13 and you’ll clearly see the importance of the receiving player’s scored points in a tennis match and the effect it has on the odds.

Safin is the match’s favourite player and at the moment the score in the first set is 3:1 with Clement leading the game. Safin’s odds have increased and the current odds favour Clement. Just have a look right under the score table where it says that Clement broke in the fourth game. It’s an indicator that Clement is in a very good condition at the moment and as we can see after the yellow square appearing next to Clement’s name, he’s serving right now.

So what should this tell you? Well, since he broke in the last game and has already scored two points in this game, there’s a very good change he’ll score at least one more point in this game. So you’d probably say I should execute the trade by backing Clement and then laying him off, right?

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Betfair Tennis Trading – Madrid Masters – Tsonga – Ljubicec

May 22, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair TraderWhen trading on the Mutua Madrilena Masters tournament in Madrid I had an interesting trade which I’ll show you in the video below.

The favourite of this match is the French player Tsonga and at the beginning of the match his odds were around 1.55.

I didn’t do anything during the first set of the match but now comes a very interesting moment. The favourite player Tsonga loses the first set and his odds drift out to 2.52.

Now tell me – even if you don’t know anything about trading tennis on Betfair – isn’t odds 2.52 a bit too high for a favourite player who’s lost only the first set by 6 : 4 ?

Yes, the player is a underpriced at the moment and that’s why I’m backing him at the odds of 2.52 using a hundred euro stake.

And now comes the next set and also the time for more action and profiteering!

Tsonga scores the first game point in the second set and it’s very promising as his odds shorten to 2.2. However, the most volatile prices can be observed when one of the players is facing a break point – and that’s exactly what I want to see in the next game of this set.

So I backed the favourite after the first set at the odds of 2.52 and now I’m following the second game in the second set to see how the events unfold on the court.

The game is being played very evenly by each player scoring points in turn until the favourite is with the advantage and his odds have dropped to 1.9 enabling more than 32 euro profit. ;-)

This is exactly what I’m doing and I’m placing a lay bet on Tsonga by clicking on the ‘Current Close’ button on BetAngel Pro screen. In a few moments the profit is split between both players evenly and no matter what happens I’ll get my 32 euro when the match ends!

But now – the best part of this video. Just have a look at what happens with the favourite’s price in a few moments – when he scores the break point. Yes, it was the very moment I was looking forward to; however, I decided to leave the trade when Tsonga had the advantage as I had already reached the necessary profit threshold.

So have a look now – the price drops down to 1.6!

Do you think I’m very regretful about not keeping the trade open for a few more moments? Well, I can only say one thing – this is what separates a gambler from a trader!

It’s essential to judge the events on the court by listening to your inner voice and while I could have made by far bigger profit by waiting a few more moments, I still made 32% profit from the stake, which is not bad at all.

And most importantly – never allow yourself to slip into a habit of counting the money you didn’t make. You’re risking of starting keeping the trades open for too long which is the very opposite of why you’re trading tennis on Betfair – executing profitable trades! :!:

Talk to you soon,

Paddy

*NEW* Betfair Tennis Trading System – Final Serve!

October 16, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Announcements

Hi Everyone,

I just wanted to show you the new Betfair tennis trading system’s cover here on the blog. So here it goes:

Betfair tennis trading

Why Final Serve? – you may ask. Well, it’s a kind of a clue, and by solving it you can answer the question – what this trading system is based on?

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Betfair Tennis Trading at Porsche Grand Prix tournament

October 13, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Usually the ladies tennis is more predictable than mens matches. For example, if a player loses the first set, you’ll see more men being able to win more games in the second set than women.

However, I don’t leave womens tournaments just because of this reason. Not at all!
I’ll show you now how I made easy 32 euro on a match between Azarenka and Radwanska at the Porsche Grand Prix tennis tournament in Germany.

Azarenka had won the first set of the match and many punters would say that she was a sure bet at that moment at the odds of 1.3. However, you always have to keep in mind that there are no such things as sure bets when it comes to gambling!

Using the same gamblers’ language I’d rather say that Radwanska was a very good value bet and very soon I could spot the right moment to take the advantage of it.

Betfair tennis trading

I layed Azarenka off at the odds of 1.31 – simply because there was almost no money to take at the other player. As you can see now, I’m 31 euro short should Azarenka win the match.

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In-play Trading vs Too Big Expectations

April 6, 2008 by admin  
Filed under Beauty Of Tennis Trading

Some folks think – if I can’t get enough from a single trade, it isn’t worth going for.

Of course – it would be so nice to earn ₤100 – ₤200 by placing just two bets but my experience tells me in a long term you can’t expect big returns with this.

At the beginning of my Betfair career I was trying different betting and trading strategies and was particularly impressed by the idea of spotting good value bets and backing them early in the morning. Then, as the race approached, I would lay them off with profit.

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