In this short video I’ll show you a couple of trades executed on the match between Clement and Safin in Open 13 and you’ll clearly see the importance of the receiving player’s scored points in a tennis match and the effect it has on the odds.

Safin is the match’s favourite player and at the moment the score in the first set is 3:1 with Clement leading the game. Safin’s odds have increased and the current odds favour Clement. Just have a look right under the score table where it says that Clement broke in the fourth game. It’s an indicator that Clement is in a very good condition at the moment and as we can see after the yellow square appearing next to Clement’s name, he’s serving right now.

So what should this tell you? Well, since he broke in the last game and has already scored two points in this game, there’s a very good change he’ll score at least one more point in this game. So you’d probably say I should execute the trade by backing Clement and then laying him off, right?

Well, then listen to this – points scored by Safin bear much bigger importance at the moment since he’s the receiving player!

As Safin scores a point I’m laying Clement at 1.78 and the bet gets matched. As he scores the next point I’m backing Clement at 1.94 and 16 euro profit appears at Clement!

I executed the trade using the money circulating at Clement because he’s got bigger liquidity at the moment and he’s still the match’s favourite judging by the odds.

However, the situation in the market changes very soon and the Safin’s odds shorten and Clement’s drift out as Safin breaks in this game.

He wins the next game as well, and there’s no doubt he’s regained the leading position as a favourite. I’m backing him at 1.7 in the 7th game of the match and he just has to score two points to enable me close the trade at 1.58. 12 euro profit has just been made on the receiving player again!

All the best,

Paddy