Betfair Tennis Trading – Andalucia Tennis Experience – 06.04.09 – Kerber – Vaidisova

April 24, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair Trader

Hello my Betfair trading fanatics!

In this Betfair tennis trading video you’ll see a typical example of Race Your Profits System in action.

So when the favourite loses the first set, we back her and I’m using a hundred euro stake. 2.12 are the odds I’m getting, and now I can follow the second set watching out for any events that would force me to either accept loss or close the trade with a profit.

When the favourite Vaidisova wins her serves the odds are already down to 1.98. But then the next game begins with her taking the serves. After she breaks in the second game of the second set, I’m laying her and the bet gets matched at 1.61.

31 euro profit has been made on her break point – can you see the potential of break points in tennis trading now?

But this is not all!

You don’t have to limit yourself by taking advantage of only one break point. If the right criteria are met when another break point occurs – why not use it to your advantage? In the third set Kerber breaks as well and starts leading the match. But the next game is played very well by the former underdog so I decide to lay Kerber.

And as you can see now I’m laying the underdog Kerber because there’s quite a big chance Vaidisova is going to strive to even the score.

The first points of the game are scored by Kerber but the odds critical level hasn’t been reached, so I can allow another point to be scored by her before exiting the trade. But then Vaidisova starts scoring and as she breaks to 40 I’m closing the trade with 25 euro profit. The overall match profit – 58 euro!

Well – I guess I can reward myself with a pint or two in the evening, what you think?

Betfair Tennis Trading – 01.04.09 – WTA Miami – Williams – Li

April 20, 2009 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair TraderHi All!

Now I’m going to show you how I made nice 44 euro profit on a tennis match where many would probably lose as much. To be honest – I also was on the verge of trading out and taking a loss. However, Williams had to score just one point and the whole situation changed upside down and I could start reflecting on how to maximize the profits instead of minimizing the losses!

So here you can see that I’ve backed the favourite player Williams at the odds of 1.66 using a hundred euro stake. As you can see her price is shortening and I could make around 15 euro profit had I closed the trade at the current odds. But there’s an essential part of every trading strategy – and it’s the minimum necessary profit per trade. In other words – unless the odds have reached the critical level – don’t get out of the trade! :!:

Of course, no two tennis matches are the same and you always have to add that human factor to the trading process. But generally speaking – you just can’t afford closing the trades as soon as the odds are moving to your favour and taking big losses at the same time as you wait until the last moment if the price is going to opposite way.

The second match ends with a tiebreak and it’s a very special moment presenting many opportunities for traders. The price fluctuations are very large – especially if a player can win the whole match by winning the tiebreak.

In this tiebreak such a player is Na Li – if she wins the tiebreak, the match point is hers. Therefore I have to watch the game very closely in case if the underdog pushes Williams’s odds too high and the potential loss figure that’s showing in red gets too big.

But Williams manages to win this set point and the odds slip out of the critical zone. However, even by scoring the set point she doesn’t secure the minimum profit needed in this match. So I’m waiting a bit into the third set to see how the players perform. If Williams manages to break, it will most likely insure the profit margin I’ve calculated for this match.

And indeed – as Williams breaks in the third game of the third set, her odds shorten to 1.15 and I can close the trade with 44 euro profit!

Thanks and talk to you soon,

Paddy ;-)

15 Pro Gamblers Banned from Madrid Masters

October 18, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Beauty Of Tennis Trading

Interestingly enough, I found this article one the Internet today telling that the Madrid Masters officials are more likely to ban 15 betting professionals from the tournament.

The reason behind this is that if you sit in a tennis court and watch the game, you’re ahead of all the betting markets both on bookies and Betfair. So if you, say, have a laptop or some other gadget with an Internet connection, you can place a bet on a player as he scores. Then, when the market reacts, you can close the trade with a profit.

Oh boy, that would be my dream! However, the truth is that laptops have been long banned from tennis courts and the tournament organizers are always on check to make sure no-one can exploit the fact that they’re on the court.

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Betfair Tennis Trading at Porsche Grand Prix tournament

October 13, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Usually the ladies tennis is more predictable than mens matches. For example, if a player loses the first set, you’ll see more men being able to win more games in the second set than women.

However, I don’t leave womens tournaments just because of this reason. Not at all!
I’ll show you now how I made easy 32 euro on a match between Azarenka and Radwanska at the Porsche Grand Prix tennis tournament in Germany.

Azarenka had won the first set of the match and many punters would say that she was a sure bet at that moment at the odds of 1.3. However, you always have to keep in mind that there are no such things as sure bets when it comes to gambling!

Using the same gamblers’ language I’d rather say that Radwanska was a very good value bet and very soon I could spot the right moment to take the advantage of it.

Betfair tennis trading

I layed Azarenka off at the odds of 1.31 – simply because there was almost no money to take at the other player. As you can see now, I’m 31 euro short should Azarenka win the match.

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