What does it take to Trade Tennis successfully?

May 27, 2011 by arcmdn  
Filed under Successful Tennis Trading

While I’m waiting for the next tournament, I decided to give you some advice on how to best approach the Betfair tennis trading. You know – the mind stuff, how not to lose your head and start gambling instead of trading and those sort of things.

I’ve received plenty of e-mails from my customers who are very concerned about one thing in general.
They can grasp all the tennis trading concepts and apply them in the real life. However, staying focused and calm even if you’re forced to accept losses seems to be the hardest thing of them all. And even if you don’t want to, you start placing completely stupid bets and eventually your Betfair account is dry.

So this is the first video about the importance of controlling your emotions while trading tennis on Betfair.

Please don’t underestimate the importance of these videos – they will make and save you money. Until next time!

Talk to you soon,
Paddy

Betfair Tennis Trading – Andalucia Tennis Experience – Kerber v Vaidisova

April 24, 2010 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Betfair Trader

Hello my Betfair trading fanatics!

In this Betfair tennis trading video you’ll see a typical example of Race Your Profits System in action.

There are several chances in every match to make big profits – this is a match where just two opportunites made a nice profit.

When the favourite loses the first set, we back her and I’m using a hundred euro stake. 2.12 are the odds I’m getting, and now I can follow the second set watching out for any events that would force me to either accept loss or close the trade with a profit.

When the favourite Vaidisova wins her serves the odds are already down to 1.98. But then the next game begins with her taking the serves. After she breaks in the second game of the second set, I’m laying her and the bet gets matched at 1.61.

31 euro profit has been made on her break point – can you see the potential of break points in tennis trading now?

But that’s not all!

You don’t have to limit yourself by taking advantage of only one break point. If the right criteria are met when another break point occurs – why not use it to your advantage? In the third set Kerber breaks as well and starts leading the match. But the next game is played very well by the former underdog so I decide to lay Kerber.

And as you can see now I’m laying the underdog Kerber because there’s quite a big chance Vaidisova is going to strive to even the score.

The first points of the game are scored by Kerber but the odds critical level hasn’t been reached, so I can allow another point to be scored by her before exiting the trade. But then Vaidisova starts scoring and as she breaks to 40 I’m closing the trade with 25 euro profit. The overall match profit – 58 euro!

An important lesson can be leaned here – there are several occasions in every match to make profits – 58 euro is by no means the limit – but 58 euro in less than 90 minutes is more than we make in our day job!

Well – I guess I can afford a pint or two in the evening, what you think?

‘Til next time,

Paddy.

Importance Of Receiving Players’ Points In Betfair Tennis Trading

February 25, 2010 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Hi folks, how’s your Betfair trading?

In this short video I’ll show you a couple of trades executed on the match between Clement and Safin in Open 13 and you’ll clearly see the importance of the receiving player’s scored points in a tennis match and the effect it has on the odds.

Safin is the match’s favourite player and at the moment the score in the first set is 3:1 with Clement leading the game. Safin’s odds have increased and the current odds favour Clement. Just have a look right under the score table where it says that Clement broke in the fourth game. It’s an indicator that Clement is in a very good condition at the moment and as we can see after the yellow square appearing next to Clement’s name, he’s serving right now.

So what should this tell you? Well, since he broke in the last game and has already scored two points in this game, there’s a very good change he’ll score at least one more point in this game. So you’d probably say I should execute the trade by backing Clement and then laying him off, right?

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Betfair Tennis Trading at Porsche Grand Prix tournament

October 13, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

Usually the ladies tennis is more predictable than mens matches. For example, if a player loses the first set, you’ll see more men being able to win more games in the second set than women.

However, I don’t leave womens tournaments just because of this reason. Not at all!
I’ll show you now how I made easy 32 euro on a match between Azarenka and Radwanska at the Porsche Grand Prix tennis tournament in Germany.

Azarenka had won the first set of the match and many punters would say that she was a sure bet at that moment at the odds of 1.3. However, you always have to keep in mind that there are no such things as sure bets when it comes to gambling!

Using the same gamblers’ language I’d rather say that Radwanska was a very good value bet and very soon I could spot the right moment to take the advantage of it.

Betfair tennis trading

I layed Azarenka off at the odds of 1.31 – simply because there was almost no money to take at the other player. As you can see now, I’m 31 euro short should Azarenka win the match.

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Betfair Tennis Trading – Roddick vs Ferrero 27.09.2008

September 27, 2008 by arcmdn  
Filed under Trading Examples

This was a tennis match in Beijing Open Quarterfinals between Andy Roddick and Juan Carlos Ferrero. Andy Roddick was the favourite player with current ATP rank of 8. Ferrero, on the contrary, is ranked 48 and was this match’s underdog.

However, as it sometimes happens in tennis, clear favourites don’t always win the first set of the match. And clever Betfair tennis traders like me (LOL!) can exploit the ensuing price movements to their benefit!

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In-play Trading vs Too Big Expectations

April 6, 2008 by admin  
Filed under Beauty Of Tennis Trading

Some folks think – if I can’t get enough from a single trade, it isn’t worth going for.

Of course – it would be so nice to earn ₤100 – ₤200 by placing just two bets but my experience tells me in a long term you can’t expect big returns with this.

At the beginning of my Betfair career I was trying different betting and trading strategies and was particularly impressed by the idea of spotting good value bets and backing them early in the morning. Then, as the race approached, I would lay them off with profit.

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