However, as it sometimes happens in tennis, clear favourites don’t always win the first set of the match. And clever Betfair tennis traders like me (LOL!) can exploit the ensuing price movements to their benefit!

As clearly described in one of my Betfair tennis trading systems – Race Your Profits – you can wait on the favourite player to lose the first set and then act accordingly. What this acting accordingly means? Well, if you’re not a Betfair trading newbie, it should be pretty clear to you. You have to back the favourite first and then lay him off when he breaks in a game, for example.

But this time I did something different. As you can see, I layed off the under-dog Ferrero at the odds of 1.83 when the favourite Roddick scored a game point.

The next game was for the under-dog to serve and I was closely watching the match. During the next game both players scored a number of points each. When the favourite player had an advantage and Ferrero’s odds had drifted out to 2.1, I backed him.

The result – 27 euro profit in less than six minutes! Not bad, is it?

If you’re wandering how I could predict that Ferrero’s odds would drift out, here are a few cornerstones of successful Betfair tennis trading:

* Quite often a strong favourite having lost the first set will gain a few game points at the beginning of the next set.

* When a player scores all the points in a game, you can confidently expect him to perform very well during the next game as well. Even if he takes the opposite player’s serves, by the way.

* Break points are crucial moments during tennis matches triggering very good price movements.

However, to make consistent long term profit, this is not enough. You have to know the right odds filters and exit strategies – and it’s what my Tennis Trading League Systems are all about:-)

Regards,
Paddy

It was the end of the third game when Moya took the advantage and he was potentially to score a break point.

As we know, break points are very decisive moments in Betfair tennis trading, so I layed the favourite Gasquet at the odds of 1.72 using a hundred euro stake and kept on following the match.

The fight between the players went on for quite a long time as they each kept on scoring points and still no game point was scored.

After around three minutes the under-dog finally managed to break in this game and the favourite’s odds jumped up to 2.02.

I was waiting for a few moments into the break before the next game to see if the odds would drift out even more. As they didn’t, I backed the favourite Gasquet using the same hundred euro stake.

These were my first 30 euro earned on this match and there were more good moments to come, but this one is a very good example of a break point’s impact on the player’s odds in Betfair tennis trading.

As you can see, a nice 30% profit can be made in a single trade!

Later on, of course, I transferred the biggest part of profits to Moya’s side as he started to lead the match. It wouldn’t be clever to leave the entire green amount on a losing favourite, would it?