Spartan Tennis Trading Tips Tuesday 6th October

tennis ballSpartan Trading Tips are published when all have been played – in order to get Today’s Tips, join by clicking here and I’ll mail them to you!! 

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

WTA CHINA:

1. 07:15 – Vecino v Mattek-Sands

Mattek-Sands had a very impressive US Open tournament losing only to Serena Williams in 3 sets. Personally, the serve factor points heavily towards the American here. Go for her at the start..

–> Back Mattek-Sands @1.33, Lay @1.12

2. 09:30 – Petkovic v Stosur –> NO STOP LOSS SUGGESTED

Petkovic’s form and consistency is a serious doubt at the moment. Go for Sam Stosur who dominated a tricky player like Niculescu in her first round match.

—> Back Stosur @1.85, Lay @1.4

3. 11:00 – Duque-Marino v Bacsinszky –> NO STOP LOSS SUGGESTED

A few months ago Timea Bacsinzky looked like a hard player to beat for many WTA players. Unfortunately, ever since her loss to Muguruza at Wimbledon, her form has evaporated into oblivion with four first round losses at Toronto, Cincinnati, New Haven and most importantly the US Open.

Eventhough she had a good win against Giorgi, it must be said Duque Marino has beaten two very tough hard courters in Linette and Pironkova (both in 2 sets).

I expect this to be a tough affair for the Swiss girl.

—> Lay Bacsinszky @1.38, back @1.85

ATP CHINA:

4. 05:30 – Lu v Mannarino

With the support of his home crowd, Lu could be a great trade today. Lay Mannarino at the start.

—> Lay Mann @1.83, Back @2.5

5. 08:45 – Millman v Robredo –> NO STOP LOSS SUGGESTED

Robredo had a decent tourney at Shenzhen which he lost only to eventual champ Berdych. Going for the experience of the Spaniard at the start..

—> Back Robredo @1.7, Lay @1.3

ATP JAPAN:

6. 03:00 – Tomic v Johnson

While Tomic has lost both his head to head matches against Johnson, in my opinion he is the overall better hard courter. Go for the favourite at the beginning..

—> Back Tomic @1.81, Lay @1.5

7. 06:30 – Dimitrov v Paire

I must admit that Dimitrov looked pretty poor at Malaysia last week. Prefer going for Paire who has been exceptionally good in recent months.

—> Lay Dimi @1.54, Back @1.9

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank with Stop loss at 40%.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade. Use Stop Loss at 40% unless stated otherwise.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank with Stop Loss at 40%.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade. Use Stop Loss at 40% unless stated otherwise.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.
No Stop Loss Suggested – Use of Stop Loss is not recommended for this tip. Use half Normal Stake.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake, when stop loss is used

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at http://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

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