Betfair Tennis Trading Tips 28th May – French Open Day 4

french open 2014

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:




1. 10:00 – Dolgopolov v Granollers

Back Dolgo@1.31, lay@1.15

2. 10:00 – Youzhny v Stepanek

Back Youzhny@1.5, lay@1.2

(I’m expecting a rather long match in this one)

3. 11:30 – Haase v Klizan

Back Klizan@1.39, lay@1.14

4. 11:30 – Tursunov v Querrey

Back Tursunov@1.59, lay@1.2

5. 13:15 – Kukushkin v Isner

Back Isner@1.28, lay@1.1

(Keep the stakes low here!)


6. 11:45 – Lepchenko v Kerber

Back Kerber@1.46, lay@1.18

7. 13:30 – Cibulkova v Paszek


BH Cibulkova@1.21, lay@1.05

8. 15:00 – Barthel v Lisicki

Back Lisicki@1.64, lay@1.3

9. 15:00 – Niculescu v Ormachea

Back Niculescu@1.73, lay@1.4

(If Niculescu wins the first set easily, recycle your green a bit! See article below..)

10. 15:00 – Parmentier v Shvedova

Back Shvedova@1.33, lay@1.14



11. 15:00 – A Radwanska v Ka Pliskova

Lay Radwa@1.14, back@1.55

HOT TIPS: Dolgopolov, Tursunov, Cibulkova and Lisicki

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Low Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Low stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.6, adjust your lay odds to 1.35 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at


  • Christian Dittrich Posted May 28, 2014 6:08 pm

    Again, seems to be good work for today. Even Radwanska went in that direction, unfortunalle she was 3-0 in lead the the stop loss fired. But her odds went up to 1.34, the pattern is clearly in sight.
    Lisicki injured herself – no chance to react for us.
    But overall thanks again, Patrick!

    I added Hantuchova and Sharapova – Sharapova does play a hard game, but Hantuchova was an easy one. ANd thanks for backing heavy tip in Cibul – great match!

    • Patrick Ross Posted May 28, 2014 8:46 pm

      Hi Christian – yeah was a good day especially with the back Heavy tip’re very welcome. Please keep the comments coming in…

  • Profitcsinalo Posted May 28, 2014 7:06 pm

    Parmentier v Shvedova
    This was interresting match.
    At the match start Shvedova’s back odds was 1.34
    Shvedova won the first set 1:6 and lost the second set 6:3. At the start of the third set Shvedova odds was 1.59, much higher when the match started. 1.59-1.34 = 25 tick difference.
    What is the reason behind this odds increasing?

    • Patrick Ross Posted May 28, 2014 8:44 pm

      Hi Kristof – I would say that the odds difference is due to the fact that she had just lost a set and statistics say that in a 3 setter like this, the person who wins the second set has momentum and are more likely to win the final set. As you are well aware, tennis matches are about swings in momentum and prices often reflect this.
      If she had lost the first 6-1 and won the second 6-3, I would imagine she would be back to her starting price…

  • Matthew Grzyb Posted May 30, 2014 5:10 am

    @ Profitcsinalo

    You can see it even in a fist set. Market reacts to a match. If for example a favorite has lots of break chances and he does not convert them his back odds go down because a market assumes that it will happen sooner and later and of course vice versa. The change of odds in a first set is not as dramatic as in a deciding one.

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