Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: ATP WTA Monday 30th March

These tips are published when all have been played – in order to get today’s tips, join by clicking here and I’ll mail them to you!! To see stats and results, please click on the ‘TRADING STATS’ link above. 

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

MIAMI OPEN:

MEN:

1. 17:30 – Goffin v Janowicz —> HOT TIP

After a not so impressive start to this season, Goffin looks like he is finding some of his past form.
He blew away a very talented Coric in the last round while Jano just about sneaked past Bautista Agut. I feel Goffin is definitely the man to go for today and can win this in 2 sets if Jano doesn’t step up his serves.

—> Back Goffin @1.61, lay @1.24

2. 21:30 – Ferrer v Rosol —> HOT TIP

I just can’t see Ferrer losing to Rosol today. His form has been spot on, losing only 1 of his last 10 games.
Rosol will not only struggle with his serves, but on these slow courts, he’s going to have a very tough job all round!

—> Back Ferrer @1.11, lay @1.02

3. 00:30 – Dimitrov v Isner

Anytime John Isner plays in front of his home crowd, expect him to step up his game! This match may indeed be priced rightly, but I feel the strategy should be to lay Dimitrov simply due to the fact that he has never faced the big serving John before.

Expect a tough match for the Bulgarian Dimi!

—> Lay Dimi @1.7, back @2.2

WOMEN:

4. 16:00 – Radwanska v Suarez Navarro

The Pole Radwanska has got the better off Navarro every single time they have met. However, current form is very much favouring the Spaniard Navarro.

Considering that Navarro lost only to eventual winner Halep at Indian Wells, I am suggesting to lay Radwanska here..

—> Lay Radwa @1.68, back @2.2

5. 16:00 – Venus v Wozniacki

Venus didn’t look comfortable on these Miami courts in her earlier matches, possibly due to the slow pace.
Amazingly, Wozniacki has played Venus 7 times and hasen’t won a match against the American. I am with the bookies here and suggesting to back Venus.

Keep the stakes low or medium here..

—> Back Venus @1.88, lay @1.45

6. 17:30 – Serena v Kuznetsova

Unlike her previous opponents Niculescu and Bellis, Kuznetsova is a far more experienced player and a former Grand Slam winner. Serena hasn’t looked at her best when it comes to serving on these courts and therefore, there may be a slight hope for Kuznetsova.

I am taking a very calculated risk here and suggesting to lay Serena here as I believe Kuzzy is actually playing some solid tennis at the
moment.

—> Lay Serena @1.12, back @1.5

Please note, there is always a risk in laying Serena and this is just an exceptional case. Hence, please limit your stakes to low or medium!

7. 19:15 – Pliskova v Gavrilova

Gavrilova seems like nothing is bothering her at the moment and is swinging the racket at anything or everything out there! After a very solid performance where she knocked out Maria Sharapova, she continued her form against Kurumi Nara who had earlier knocked out Caroline Garcia in 2 sets.

Pliskova does crack under pressure and do have issues with serve consistency, so I am favouring the Russian Gavrilova here to outgun her.

—> Lay Pliskova @1.45, back @1.85

8. 22:15 – Stephens v Bencic

Form of both players is extremely good and this is a tough match to call if it goes to a decider. However, at the start, I feel favouring Bencic is the right strategy here as she’s a better returner.

—> Lay Stephens @1.75, back @2.3

9. 02:00 – Halep v Pennetta —> HOT TIP

Halep looks to continue her Indian Wells form and has been solid in her matches this week. While Pennetta has the serves, she doesn’t have the defensive skills or more importantly, the brute force that Halep possesses.

Prefer going for the favourite here..

—> Back Halep @1.35, lay @1.16

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

[/s2If]