Betfair Tennis Trading Tips ATP/WTA Friday 7th March 2014

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

(PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW)

ATP INDIAN WELLS

1. 19:00 – Kukushkin v Groth

Back [email protected], [email protected]

2. 19:00 – Mahut v Gabashvili

Back [email protected], [email protected]

3. 19:00 – Nedovyesov v Sousa

Back [email protected], [email protected]

4. 22:15 – Agut v Johnson

Back [email protected], [email protected]

WTA INDIAN WELLS

5. 22:15 – Dellacqua v Flipkens

Back [email protected], [email protected]

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Low Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion.
Lay: Low stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion.
Possible 3 Setter – Worth considering laying the winner of the first set.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other sites – there may be small price differences – but these should not matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

12 Comments

  • Jack London Posted March 7, 2014 5:49 pm

    I like these ATP picks, but might delay and trade on the Agut vs Johnson to see how well Johnson is serving. Steve had the best week of his career at Delray Beach last week, and confidence means a lot in this game. I can see a close match here with lots of break point chances both both guys.

  • Jack London Posted March 7, 2014 5:53 pm

    Just saw that the odds for Agut have now shrunk to 1.45, so I guess I am in the minority here.

  • Profitcsinalo Posted March 7, 2014 10:30 pm

    I think that BetFair had an error with Nedovyesov v Sousa match odds market.
    At 20:07:22 (in CET time), the price of Sousa jumped from 1.5 to 3.0.
    Match started at 20:10

    This was a couple of minutes before the kick-off. This was a very big
    change in the price.
    This unnatural behaviour occurred me a losing trade, because my Stop
    Loss bet was matched.
    I have never seen this kind of high jump of the odds before the match
    started before.

    Anyone else notice this strange behaviour?

    • Patrick Ross Posted March 7, 2014 10:36 pm

      Yeah had reports from other members of the same thing. Very strange.Patrick.

  • Jack London Posted March 7, 2014 11:17 pm

    YES, I lost double on that match because I saw it as a very good opportunity, so when I came back to check I was very surprised to see a loosing trade, my stop loss was also triggered and I did not follow the match until after the first set. I just assumed that he got down a break or two and somehow came back to win the first set. I saw the betfair chart odds at 3 as well. That is really annoying.

    P.S. Looks like your Agut is wining comfortably, good pick.

    • Patrick Ross Posted March 7, 2014 11:52 pm

      Thanks Jack! Yeah looking good at the moment. Lets hope he finishes is off. Thats our betting tip for the day too!! Patrick.

  • Matthew Grzyb Posted March 8, 2014 3:10 am

    Never trade a match you can not see live. Nedovyesov – Sousa match was not broadcast anywhere to my knowledge. Then you wont be surprised by a big change in odds. Are you sure that odds on Sousa changed from 1.5 to 3 just before the start of the match? It would indicate some injury issues. We had some injury retirements recently with a real nice one courtesy of DelPo in Dubai.. After losing a first set tiebreaker to Devarman his odds were still in 1.5-1.6 range. If you put money on Devarman you would get nice 150% profit. I was a bit late but managed to get healthy 60%. Similar thing happened with Ferrer who after winning first set against Anderson in Acapulco retired being 4-2 down. One of my favorites guys to watch for injury is Tommy Haas. Last week in Sao Paulo in semis against Lorenzi and before in Aussie Open against Garcia-Lopez. Last year Tommy provided 2 w/o and one retirement in 1 set though….He is almost 36 so im not surprised. Patrick – you should maybe post something about injury hunting ?

    Regards

    • Patrick Ross Posted March 8, 2014 8:11 am

      Hi Matthew – completely agree with trading and watching live, especially with bigger stakes. I’ll write something up about injury hunting in the next few days and send the link out when its done..
      Patrick.

  • Jack London Posted March 8, 2014 11:22 am

    I took the avantage of Delporto match right as the tiebreak ended, manged to do the same with Ferrer. Sadly mised the Haas match. How about Azarenka last night? That was a crazy match, managed to take advantage of it but got a bit of a scare and didn’t make all I could going into the tiebreak. Of course Nadal in Australian open was a good example too, sadly I was on the wrong side of that one.

  • Matthew Grzyb Posted March 8, 2014 7:55 pm

    Yeah i had connection issues and could not close the trade when Davis odds hit 1.07 when it looked as if Aza might retire. After a while the odds went back to 1.4-1.5 territory and i ended up even. Sadly i live in 3rd world country now and internet sucks there…

  • Profitcsinalo Posted March 9, 2014 12:15 am

    Matthew, yes the odds jump happened before the match start. This kind of odds change is not normal, I think.
    I have uploaded the screenshot about the jump:
    http://tinypic.com/view.php?pic=2hpk8wn&s=8#.UxuxnPl5N1E

    BetFair said:
    “Thank you for your e-mail.

    I have contacted the market operations team who inform me that occasionally markets may fluctuate for whatever reason prior or during an event for which Betfair hold no responsibility for and have no control over. On this occasion there is nothing we will be able to do for your issue.

    In the mean time please accept my apologies for the inconvenience caused.”

    In my opinion this is not too safe for a trader…

  • Matthew Grzyb Posted March 9, 2014 12:45 pm

    There was a relatively low volume of trading of Sousa odds at odds higher that 1.5 up to peak of 3. Around few hundred looking at the chart when the whole volume was over 60k. I would say that somebody made mistake and somebody took advantage and made quickly few hundred euros.

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