Betfair Tennis Trading Tips ATP/WTA Saturday 3rd May 2014

tennis ball

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

ATP BMW OPEN

1. 12:00 – Klizan v Haas

Back [email protected], [email protected]

2. 13:45 – Fognini v Struff

Back [email protected], [email protected]

(Consider a 3rd set here as this could end up as a very profitable match!)

 

ATP PORTUGAL

3. 14:00 – Berdych v Hanescu

Back [email protected], [email protected]

4. 15:45 – Gimeno v Berlocq

Back [email protected], [email protected]

 

WTA PORTUGAL

5. 11:50 – Suarez v Kuznetsova

Back [email protected], [email protected]


HOT TIPS: Haas, Berdych and Kuznetsova

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Low Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Low stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – Worth considering laying the winner (or backing the loser) of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.6, adjust your lay odds to 1.35 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

5 Comments

  • Christian Dittrich Posted May 3, 2014 8:10 pm

    Klizan is a real surprise, yesterday he was not the fav and today he defeated Tommy Haas 6-3 / 6-2 – great performance. Not for my bet, but for him.
    Fognini great bet, no 3rd set, but no questions, the game was clear.
    Berdych won easily against Hanescu.
    Same with Gimeno, no chance for him.
    Kuznetsova lost on three sets – did I mention that women are unpredictable 🙂 ?

    So 3/5 today, not that bad. I had another good game, Petko v Errani in the evening.

    • Patrick Ross Posted May 4, 2014 10:46 am

      Hi Christian – 3/5 not bad. Haas was outclassed and Kuznetsova didn’t play badly overall but she choked at the end unusually for her. But it was a very unpredictable match with 15 breaks of serve. Patrick.

  • Keith Misell Posted May 10, 2014 1:49 pm

    Hi Patrick,

    What was the rationale behind the laying Sharapova trade as advised today on TTL? I thought it seemed high risk (9-2 match wins, last meet Sharapova won in straight sets) and indeed stop loss was hit very soon..

    Thanks

    Keith

    • Patrick Ross Posted May 11, 2014 5:01 am

      Hi Keith
      The reason behind laying Sharapova here was due to Radwanska’s good form on clay. She has beaten Kuznetsova who is playing some of her best tennis at the moment who was also a finalist in the previous clay tournament (should’ve won against Carla Suarez Navarro). Also she played extremely well against Garcia yesterday who is a very good server on this surface.
      Maria is all about consistency at the moment and I felt there was value in laying her. However, this was just a one sided match and Aga was poor from the start.
      However, please note this wasn’t advised to trade with big stakes as it wasn’t included in any HEAVY/HOT TIPS category.
      Regards
      Patrick

  • Keith Misell Posted May 11, 2014 1:17 pm

    Many thanks for the above explanation, Patrick.

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