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Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: ATP/WTA Saturday 4th October

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

ATP CHINA:

1. 5:30 – Djokovic v Murray

Both have looked extremely impressive so far in China. With Murray losing to the Djoker in the recent US Open I think he would want to start brilliantly here and get some revenge. I do fancy Djokovic eventually winning but the first set may end up being a tough one to call. Suggesting to lay hence.. A very possible 3rd set so trade accordingly!

Lay Djoko@1.36, back@1.6

2. 12:30 – Berdych v Klizan

This is not going to be that easy to call as Klizan caused a major upset by knocking out one of the favourites of this tournament, Rafael Nadal. Suggesting to lay, but keep the stakes low as Berdych is still a huge favourite..

Lay Berdych@1.26, back@1.6

 

WTA CHINA:

3. 7:30 – Stosur v Kvitova –> HOT TIP

Overall I feel Kvitova will start better here.Still consider a 3rd set if the Kvitova goes on to win the first comfortably..I do think there is a small possibility of an upset on the cards!

Back Kvitova@1.35, lay@1.16

4. 9:00 – Sharapova v Ivanovic

Sharapova has historically had problems facing Ana’s bullet serves. I fancy a upset here..I suggest to lay here at the start, however, if this goes to a third set, have your money on Maria as she’s the ‘Final set Expert’!

Lay Sharapova@1.6, back@2.2

 

ATP JAPAN:

5. 4:00 – Raonic v Simon –> HOT TIP

I just can’t see Simon troubling the Canadian here who has looked rock solid on serves so far in Japan. For me he is the better player in almost all departments of the game between these two. Also note that the head to head stats in favour Raonic 2-0. A Hot Tip hence on Raonic!

Back Raonic@1.34, lay@1.14

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

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