All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:
PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW
WTA OPEN GDF SUEZ DE LIMOGES:
1. 14:30 – Smitkova v Mladenovic
By match statistics in the semis, Smitkova has looked the better player but it’s important to point out that Mladenovic had a tougher opponent in Dodin who did end up as a very tough challenge for her. The main thing that helped Mladenovic win yesterday was the number of aces she served on break points. In fact she had a massive 14 aces which is a rare occurrence for anyone other than Serena Williams these days.
If she serves nearly as well as she did, Mladenovic can indeed win this final against Smitkova.
I’m hoping for a jump in Smitkova odds early on and putting my faith on the home girl’s serve stats which have been extremely impressive!
Lay Smitkova @1.65, back @2.24
FED CUP FINALS
2. 12:00 – Kvitova v Kerber –> HOT TIP
As predicted, Kvitova was in sublime form against Petkovic yesterday. I honestly can’t see a miraculous comeback for the Germans here who have been thoroughly dominated by the Czechs.
Back Kvitova @1.3, lay @1.14
3. 13:30 – Safarova v Petkovic
Safarova beating Kerber in 3 sets was not the hardest to predict but I didn’t expect her to beat the German in 2 sets. Interestingly Kerber had early breaks in both sets but just couldn’t handle Safarova’s stunning shots. Stats point towards hugely in favour of Lucie here. A bit surprised by the higher odds which may very well end up as VALUE!
Back Safa @1.64, lay @1.25
ATP WORLD TOUR FINALS:
4. 14:00 – Nishikori v Murray —> HOT TIP
Eventhough Andy lost to Novak in Paris, it must be said, he had a good winning streak to secure his place here in London. I just don’t see Andy losing today due to his overall experience.
Back Andy @1.48, lay @1.19
5. 20:00 – Federer v Raonic –> HOT TIP
I’m disagreeing with the odds here, which I think are a bit high for the world no.2.
Roger has played brilliantly in London before and understand these courts far better than the Canadian. Even with a recent loss to Milos, I feel Federer will win this rather comfortably!
Back Federer @1.35, lay @1.1
Some Terms Explained:
Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.
Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.