Betfair Tennis Trading Tips ATP/WTA Thursday 6th March 2014

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

(PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW)

BACK TIPS

ATP INDIAN WELLS

1. 19:00 – Smyczek v Sock

Back [email protected], [email protected]

2. 20:30 – Stepanek v Istomin

Back [email protected], [email protected]

3. 22:15 – Hewitt v Ebden

Back [email protected], [email protected]

4. 00:00 – Ginepri v Mathieu

Back [email protected], [email protected]

5. 4:30 – Kuznetsov v Querrey

Back [email protected], [email protected]

WTA INDIAN WELLS

6. 19:00 – Karolina Pliskova v Larcher de Brito

Back [email protected], [email protected]

7. 19:00 – U.Radwanska v Wozniak

Back [email protected], [email protected]

8. 20:00 – Cepelova v Goerges

Back [email protected], [email protected]

9. 20:45 – Kleybanova v Duval

Back [email protected], [email protected]

10. 23:45 – Niculescu v Erakovic

Back [email protected], [email protected]

11. 00:00 – Vandeweghe v Cadantu

Back [email protected], [email protected]

LAY TIPS

ATP INDIAN WELLS

12: 19:00 – Falla v Delbonis

Lay [email protected], [email protected]

13. 22:30 – Monaco v Polansky

Lay [email protected], [email protected]

WTA INDIAN WELLS

14: 19:00 – Ormaechea v Zheng

Lay [email protected], [email protected]

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Low Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion.
Lay: Low stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion.
Possible 3 Setter – Worth considering laying the winner of the first set.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other sites – there may be small price differences – but these should not matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

4 Comments

  • Jack London Posted March 6, 2014 8:11 pm

    Can’t vouch for the WTA picks since I know little on that front (I joined the monthly subscription to get WTA advice), but not convinced by some of these ATP picks, not saying they are bad, I just don’t see how they are much better than some of the other 1st round matches, Sock, Istomin, Hewitt all seem to be pretty close to call. Hewitt has been a very slow starter the last few months, and Stepanek played great in Dubai against Fed so not sure it will be that easy for Istomin. So I am just curious how you arrive at these picks?

    Seems like your strategy is usually to pick the moderately priced favorite 1.4 to 1.6 to be the first to break serve and pick up 20 to 25 ticks, which should happen more often than not since they are after all the favorite. How do you chose which moderately priced favorites to go with?

  • Jack London Posted March 6, 2014 9:22 pm

    Looks like Stepanek just raced to a 3-0 lead which I thought might happen, luckily I changed my bet and layer Istomin.

    Sock just lost in 3.

    Will see what happens to Hewitt, the price is pretty low on him, meaning there is not much reward if he does win as he should, and considering he has been rather inconsistent lately.

    • Patrick Ross Posted March 7, 2014 11:55 am

      Hi – have to say good call on those matches – you got 2/3 right!! I like it when members give predictions before the event and get it right. Too many are experts after the event!! I base my selections on a huge amount of variables and not just recent form. My stats said that those 2 matches in question would go a different direction, but I cant be right all the time. My stats show over 78% strike rate on ATP selections since new year so i wont change my selection process based on these results. I cant be right 100%!! But thanks for the comments.
      Patrick.

  • Jack London Posted March 7, 2014 4:40 pm

    Hi Partick, technically I only got one of them right because Sock was loosing as I posted, which is what prompted me to post in the first place.

    Although the Hewitt trade worked out, it was really close, he had a pretty bad opening game with a break point, Ebden just played worse. Even after getting the break first serving at 2-0, Hewitt played a terrible 3rd game and gave it right back, so it was a pretty rocky start for him that the score did not reflect well.

    I usually agree with almost all of your ATP predictions. They always seem to have a way of working and locking in that profit, especially in matches I consider very difficult to call at the beginning. That’s why I was wondering if you kept track of who was a slow starter and pick some of your matches that way.

    I think a 78% success rate is pretty spectacular, so no complains despite a recent patch of unlucky matches in the long run I know I will be making money with these tips.

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