All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:
PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW
AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 3:
1. 00:00 – Koukalova v Goerges:
Goerges blew away Bencic in the first round and also performed well in the earlier tournament in Auckland. The head to head is tied between these two but I’m confident of Goerges being the better performer as per current form, so agreeing with the market prices.
—> Back Goerges @1.32, lay @1.12
2. 01:15 – Hradecka v Hercog –> HOT TIP
Head to head is favouring Hradecka 1-0 which isn’t that important considering that match ended in a 3rd set tiebreaker.
What is significant however, is the fact that Hradecka knocked out one of the toughest hard court players in Ivanovic, after losing the first set 6-1 in the first round.
This is hence a great bet on the Czech in my opinion.
—> Back Hradecka @1.94, lay @1.5
3. 01:15 – Ka Pliskova v Dodin
Under normal circumstances you would go with the heavy favourite here against a less known youngster. However, Dodin has been improving constantly since the latter part of 2014. She already knocked out a tough Alison Riske in the first round and I’m forced to say that this could be a tough match for Karolina.
—> LAY Pliskova @1.14, back @1.8
*** The reason why I am giving such a high back price is because I do really feel Dodin has the potential to cause another upset tomorrow. So trade this one wisely and even if Pliskova wins the first set, consider laying her on odds of 1.05 and under.
A possible big time money maker here. ***
4. 08:00 – Bouchard v Bertens
Again a huge favourite here and I feel the opponent Bertens is a very dangerous and unpredictable opponent.
If the Canadian’s serves happen to have less effect tomorrow, watch out for a cracking match as this one could end up in a deciding 3rd set.
—> LAY Bouchard @1.14, back @1.45
*** Again, if odds hit too low on Bouchard, assuming she wins the first set comfortably, take a calculated risk by laying the Canadian at very low odds. ***
5. 03:45 – Vasselin v Jaziri
Jaziri was worked up a lot and even had a slight injury issue against Kukushkin in the previous match. Vasselin hardly had to play in the 1st round as Robredo retired early. Back the Frenchman.
—> Back Vasselin @1.55, lay @1.25
6. 07:00 – Groth v Kokkinakis
The better server and more improved player off these two is Groth so fancying him to start the better.
—> Back Groth @1.72, lay @1.35
Good luck for Day 3!
Some Terms Explained:
Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.
Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.
All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.
Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely. Please read the relevant article below.
Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!
Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/