Betfair Tennis Trading Tips Monday 9th Sept: US Open Final Day


22: 00 – Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal

I personally find this match a bit hard to call. No Backing Heavy here
at the start.

However my best suggestion is to go with the player who has the form
behind him at the start, and that’s Rafa Nadal. The guy is unbeaten on Hard Courts
all year and is showing some of his best tennis ever.

Advice 1 – Initial Strategy : Back Rafa@1.75, lay@1.5

Second advice for me is to lay the winner of the first set straight
away. So if Rafa wins let’s say 6-3, lay him.

Advice 2: Lay Rafa if he wins the first set. Give advance prices in
the range 1.3 – 1.4

If Djokovic wins, you can lay him (with more money) as I feel Rafa
fighting back is easier to assume.

Third advice would be to lay whoever is leading 2 sets to 1. This is
mainly applicable if Djokovic is the leader after 3 sets.

Advice 3: Assuming Djokovic leads 2-1 immediately lay him for a good amount.

If Rafa is leading, I ask you to be a bit more patient and lay only
smaller amounts as the risks are higher.

Advice 4: If either player takes a 2-0 set lead and the match eventually goes
to a 5th set, back that particular player at the start of the fifth.
It’s possible he has conserved more energy for the 5th.

Example: So if Djokovic has taken a 2 set lead and Rafa has stormed
back to take 3rd and 4th, back Djokovic at the start of the 5th.

This indeed could end up as a cracking match so consider laying at
small odds on either player. I personally would say to give advance
lay price of 1.1 on either player at the start of the match just in
case you miss it later!

My personal prediction would be Djokovic to beat Nadal in a thrilling 5 setter!

Good luck!

Please read the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Low Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion.
Lay: Low stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion.
Possible 3 Setter – Worth considering laying the winner of the first set.

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other sites – there may be small price differences – but these should not matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at

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