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Welcome everyone to Day 10 of Wimbledon.
I’m going to add a few extras for Wimbledon. This would include tips to lay 3-0
Set Winners and also Handicap markets which are worth considering.
The 3-0 Set Lay tips would be displayed in short form as ‘3 LAY’
The Handicap Market would be displayed as ‘HCAP’
Take one tip at a time and focus on that for
your trades. As usual, stick to the HOT TIPS more! For the first few
days, we will follow the norm in tips, but after the second round starts,
we will have Back Heavy and some other new strategies as mentioned.
On to the tips for today…
All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change:
1. 13:00 – Djokovic v Del Potro
The only person who hasn’t been tested yet in Wimbledon is Djokovic! I
feel that may happen today.
You can consider laying something very small on Djokovic early on as
it’s worth a try.
(Keep the stakes very low here)
My best opinion however, is to wait out the first set completely. The
first set is crucial here. If Del Potro somehow wins it, this match
may become very interesting. If Djokovic wins it, it could be over
Considering Djoko has won the first set with a score line of 6-4, I
expect the odds to be around 1.07.
Lay [email protected], back @1.18
If Djokovic has won the second set comfortably as well, lay him for 1.02 or 1.03
If it does end up as a big upset, expect a 5 setter. I do not think
Del Potro can beat him in 3 or 4!
2. 15:00 – Andy Murray v Janowicz
I am highly confident on Murray winning this. His first test was over
against Verdasco where eventhough Murray was in trouble, his odds
hardly hit 2.5. That’s a major point to note. This time around, I
would be surprised if his odds hit even 1.6!
The key to Murray winning today will be his return percentage.
Janowicz is an excellent server but if there is one guy who returns
the ball as well as Djokovic it is Murray. On the other hand,
the biggest question for Janowicz is if he can handle the constant
defensive game of Murray. I do not think so!
The worst case scenario here is Jano doing what Verdasco did, winning
the first 2 sets. In the most unlikely case that happens, put your
money on Murray immediately. I had mentioned this strategy in the
Verdasco match. I do not worry about that happening again having said
Other points to note: Any odds of 1.5 or above on Murray, is
definitely value. So keep backing Murray!
The only reason you should trade out Murray is if he calls the trainer
and shows a serious injury concern. In such a case market will react
straightaway. If there is no major injury and the market is still
reacting, DO NOT PANIC!
3. 14:15 – Groenefeld/Peschke v Barty/Dellacqua:
Backing Groenefeld/Peschke seems right early on. However if they do
win the first set easily definitely consider laying them. As a
‘comeback team’ Barty and Dellacqua have been rather amazing!
Back Groenefeld/Peschke @1.57, [email protected]
4. 14:15 – Aoyama/Scheepers v Hsieh/Peng
Both teams have caused shock upsets so far. I expect a possible 3 setter here.
Backing Peng/Hsieh maybe the right strategy early on. However keep the
stakes low here!
As always, watch out for liquidity for the Doubles!!
BH and Hot Tip = Andy Murray!!
Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other sites – there may be small price differences – but these should not matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/