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Pinnacle Trading Tip Jankovic v Wickmayer + Analysis

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PINNACLE TIP #11
 
MATCH:         JANKOVIC (SERBIA) VS WICKMAYER (BELGIUM)
 
EVENT:          WTA GUANGZHOU
START TIME: 09:00 UK TIME
 
TIP:     BACK JANKOVIC @1.76, LAY @1.3
 
STOP LOSS: NOT SUGGESTED

STAKE SUGGESTED: 4% TOTAL (3% TO BE USED @ THE START)

DELAY AND TRADE : NOT SUGGESTED

 
PLAYER COMPARISON & ANALYSIS:
 
These two have played each other just twice. On both occasions Jelena reigned supreme. No doubt the experience favours the Serbian who was a former World Number 1. Also, the season so far has been quite good for her.
 
However we talk about the current form, one very striking stat points to Wickmayer – she has won 9 of her previous 10 matches!
Both are very aggressive minded players but the more patient player is Jankovic for my money.
Therefore, this is unlikely to be a walk in the park for the Belgian.
 
GENERAL UNFOLDING SCENARIO:
 
The best prediction for me would be Jankovic running away with this match. As mentioned, while the aggression factor is a strong point for Wickmayer, her mental state is quite dodgy. In fact, she has been known to choke matches from big leads quite a few times.
 
Overall I’m expecting a straightforward win for the much more experienced player, Jankovic!
 
TRADING STRATEGY:

Primary scenario:

 
There is reason to consider decent sized stakes for this tip as Janko’s performance against Kuznetsova in the earlier round was pretty ruthless. If she plays that well, Wickmayer is bound to have a ton of trouble.
 
Suggesting to stake 3% on Janko @1.76, and lay @1.3.
Your profit is close to 35%. Not recommending to delay the trade for better odds as you are likely to lose value.
 
You can continue to leave the trade here as if Janko wins the first set, I can’t see a comeback for the Belgian. However, whatever you do, make sure at least 20 – 25% profit is achieved in the 1st set itself.
 
 
Worst case scenario:
 
We had a bad result yesterday with our worst case scenario happening in the Errani match. After Zheng broke first everything was looked good but then Errani rattled of 12 games in a row which was just unbearable to watch.
However, I can’t see such a situation here but if indeed Wickmayer starts strong, back your remaining 1% stake at odds of 3.00.
 
If Janko loses the first set, there is always reason to expect a good fightback. On the contrary if she starts well and goes on to win the 1st set, I feel it could be Game Set Match in the Serbian’s favour!
 
POST MATCH ANALYSIS
 
Jelena Jankovic dominated the match early on as predicted.
It looked like this was going to be a straightforward 2 set win for the Serbian but Wickmayer pushed it to a deciding set. Janko eventually won this affair in a tight 3 setter after saving a match point.

Thankfully our target was hit way before all the drama that unfolded and there weren’t many issues in profiting from this tip. 

Patrick

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