Tennis Trading News – Monday 7th May 2012
Following some intriguing ATP 250 results over the weekend, all eyes turn to Madrid this week as both the men and the women compete in the Spanish Capital.
All was going well for the favourites in Munich, Belgrade and Estoril last week – until we reached the semi-final stage that is.
In Estoril, we did get the expected final, with the top two seeds, Gasquet and Del Potro, meeting. Del Potro came storming out of the blocks in the final, and the result never looked in doubt as the Argentinean successfully defended his Portuguese crown with a 6-4, 6-2 victory over the Frenchman.
In Belgrade it was Andreas Seppi who managed to come through a tough semi-final with tournament favourite David Nalbandian, before going on to defeat the unfancied, Benoit Paire in the final. Nalbandian had looked in control after taking the opening set of the semi, 6-2, but Seppi is growing in confidence and ability and he’ll have been delighted to have turned the match around and produced one of the best results of his career.
Last week’s most high-profile event took place in Munich, and with favourite, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga bowing out early, it was expected that either Feliciano Lopez or veteran German, Tommy Haas would go all the way here.
The semi-final threw up a couple of unlikely results, seeing Cilic overcome an in-form Haas and Kohlschreiber come through in three against Lopez.
The opening set of the final between Kohlschreiber and Cilic was probably the best of the week, as the German came through an epic tie-breaker (10-8). The World No.25 then wrapped up the match and claimed the Title with a 6-3 win in the second.
Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal all return to action this week in Madrid as the men contest the fourth Masters 1000 event of the season. Andy Murray misses out due to a back injury, meaning it’s Jo-Wilfried Tsonga who comes into the event as the fourth seed.
Rafa Nadal is an obvious favourite with the tennis bookmakers and his chances have only been boosted by the withdrawal of Murray, who would have been competing in his half of the draw. It’s tough to see Rafa dropping a set on route to the final, let alone a match, but he may come up against Munich Champion Philipp Kohlschreiber, fellow Spaniard, Fernando Verdasco and the bang in-form John Isner along the way, so there’s plenty to look forward to for Rafa.
In the other half of the draw Djokovic and Federer could meet in the semis, but Federer is coming back from several weeks away and defending Champion, Novak Djokovic may just be starting to focus his attentions on Paris at the end of the month. There shouldn’t be too much to trouble Djokovic before the semi-final stage but David Ferrer will like his chances of causing a quarter-final upset for Roger Federer.
Over in the Women’s event, it’s no surprise to see Victoria Azarenka coming in as the favourite with the bookmakers. Azarenka is having a season not too dissimilar to the one enjoyed by Novak Djokovic in 2011 and the Belarusian will be confident of doing well here. She may have to face Venus Williams in the quarters, which may make for some exciting tennis but shouldn’t cause any major problems. No.2 seed, Maria Sharapova and No.3 seed Petra Kvitova will both play on the other side of the draw but neither have been in the best of form recently and would certainly have their work cut out against an unstoppable Azarenka in the final.
The Masters 1000 events always provide a great platform for successful tennis trading as all the top players are in attendance and big name clashes come up throughout the week. We could be in for lots of tight matches, going the full distance, which will mean plenty of odds fluctuations and chances to lock-in big profits.
Potential Matches to watch this week:
Quarter-final: Rafa Nadal v Philipp Kohlschreiber or Tomas Berdych
Quarter-final: Roger Federer v David Ferrer
Semi-final: Rafa Nadal v Jo Wilfried Tsonga or John Isner
Semi-final: Novak Djokovic v Roger Federer or David Ferrer
Quarter-finals: Victoria Azarenka v Venus Williams
Quarter-finals: Caroline Wozniacki v Maria Sharapova
Quarter-finals: Petra Kvitova v Sam Stosur
Semi-final: Petra Kvitova v Maria Sharapova