Tennis Trading Stats Sunday 21st April Rafa v Djokovic: Unsuccessful

A sad result for us here as Rafa loses for once in the last 7 years at
Monte Carlo. To be really honest, I didn’t think he played bad. On the
contrary Djokovic came with a very aggressive plan early on and was
amazingly good. It was a great match in terms of quality of tennis.

The main reason I had to give this as a BH tip was firstly, the
obvious, its Rafa on clay. But more than that, Djokovic had trouble
dealing with players in his early rounds losing first sets to both
Youzhny and Monaco. Nadal on the other hand never had an issue
eventhough Dmitrov pushed him but that was after his lay price was
1.01. Hence, there was enough reason to believe that Rafa would deal
with Djokovic.

Overall, it was a bit unfortunate for us, but what this result has
done in the end is push Rafa’s odds of 1.75 on French open outright to
2.1. That is a clear signal that Backing Heavy on the Djokovic
outright now @2.8 is a great tip! So keep that in mind when the French
Open begins…That odds WILL FALL , I GUARANTEE IT!

2. Kerber v Ivanovic: Successful

Only god knows how Kerber lost the first set, but the odds went really
low to make our strategy successful easily!

3. Barthel v Jovanovski: Successful easily

Two things came right here, one was the strategy, the second was the
fact that I mentioned to lay the winner of the first set. I expected
this to be a tight match eventhough Barthel was a huge favourite!

4. Soler v Doi: Match Cancelled

5. Errani v Kvitova: Unsuccessful

I was right here about the fact that Kvitova would play better and
indeed she did but starting poor meant our strategy failed. After
winning the first set, Errani got blown away 6-2 6-0!! So if you had
kept a minimal loss on the Kvitova side after the first set, well done
as you would have beaten the market in the end!

6. Vinci v Safarova: Postponed

7. Kirilenko v Cibulkova: Successful

8. Pavlyuchenkova v Hantuchova: Cancelled

Considered matches: 5, Successful : 3 / 5 = 60 %

A bit unlucky on the Kvitova match here as that would made it an 80%
which would have meant the only one we would have lost would have been
Rafa on Clay, a rather tough one to take!

Good luck for later…

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