All profits are calculated for a Back/Lay Liability Stake of 10 units!
AUSTRALIAN OPEN DAY 2: +11 units
1. Cornet v Hercog: EARLY RETIREMENT
2. Suarez Navarro v King: Unsuccessful: -4 units
3. Voskoboeva v Begu: Successful: +2.1 units
4. Giorgi v Sanders: Successful: Giorgi was by far the better player: +2.3 units
5. Kanepi v Muguruza: Successful: +1.4 units
6. Jovanovski v Cepelova: Successful: Delaying and trading would have given some easy money here!
: +2.9 units
7. Kohlschreiber v Bedene: CANCELLED
8. Przysiezny v Zeballos: Unsuccessful: -4 units
9. Klizan v Isner: Successful: Successful even though there was a retirement. Klizan was far better than Isner for the first 2 sets as I predicted: +9.7 units
10. Stepanek v Kavcic: Successful: Successful – the odds definitely went in our favour before retirement: +2.5 units
11. Haase v Young: Successful: Another retirement here, but odds definitely hit our target!: +2.1 units
12. Kokkinakis v Sijsling: Unsuccessful: A very strange match this one! : -4 units
Overall: 10 of 12 matches considered for stats: 7/10 Successful = 70% : +11 unit profits!
Another decent day. Highlight of the day for us has to be John Isner falling to Klizan!
2 Comments
Hi, good work on the predictions however I’m not sure how you get +9.7 pts profit from the Klizan – Isner match.
The tip was lay Isner at 1.17 and back at 1.4.
i.e. lay 10 @ 1.17, back 8.3 @ 1.41 = guaranteed 1.7 units profit.
Hi Stuart
Thanks!! The stats are calculated for a Lay Stake which has a Liability of 10 units not actual 10 units
In the Isner match, if you are laying for a liability of 10, your lay stake is actually around 60 units.
==> Laid Isner@1.17 for 59 units, Profit if win: 59, Loss = – 10.03 units(LIABILITY)
Backed Isner @1.4 for 49.3 units, If Loss, – 49.3 units, Profit = 19.72 units
Guaranteed Profit = 59 – 49.3 or 19.72 – 10.03 = Approximately 9.7 units Profit
Either way, your risk is maximum 10 units here..
Regards
Patrick
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