Tennis Trading News 06 April 2012

 Just when it looked like a quiet week on the tennis tours, the WTA’s Family Circle Cup has thrown up a couple of surprises and some mouth-watering ties in prospect. Add to that an outstanding line-up of Davis Cup action and we could be in for a barrel load of tennis trading opportunities this weekend.

The Family Circle Cup

The Charleston event didn’t get off to the best of starts when Miami Master’s winner Agnes Radwanska pulled out with a back injury. Since then though, it’s been clear that the top women who are in attendance have been taking it very seriously. Both Williams sisters are through to the last 8 and look like they’re on a collision course for Saturday’s semis.

The biggest shock so far this week was the early departure of No.3 seed, Marion Bartoli at the hands of the little known Polona Hercog of Slovakia. There were some great tennis trading possibilities in this match as Bartoli lost a close first set but eased to a 6-1 win in the second. Anyone trading on Hercog at that point could have made a healthy profit as the 21-year-old came back to take the deciding set 6-4.

Sabine Lisicki’s opening match against the Czech, Andrea Hlavakova created a classic tennis trading opportunity too, as we saw the favourite lose the first set 6-2, before warming up and easing through the next two sets to victory.

Upcoming Matches

Friday’s quarter final action in Charleston sees both Williams sisters in action and plenty of trading potential. It’s been some time since the sisters met at the latter stages of an event and with opportunities to play each other in big tournaments, coming less and less these days, you’d expect both women to go all out for victory on Friday evening.

Venus has a very tricky match-up with No.2 seed Sam Stosur, but defeated Petra Kvitova in Miami just two weeks ago and will feel she can compete well here.

Serena must face Sabine Lisicki in her match as the fifth and sixth seed play-off for a place in the semis.

Both these matches are too tight to call and there’s every chance they’ll both go the full distance. It could be worthwhile holding off on your trading in the opening sets of each, then taking the loser of the first set to go on and win the match. If it does get to 1-1 in either of the matches, there’ll be a good opportunity to get out with a profit.

Davis Cup

It’s Davis Cup action for the men across the weekend and the prospect of France v USA in Monte Carlo is one to delight any tennis fan.

Tsonga, Simon, Benneteau and Llodra make up the French contingent, whilst it’s Isner, Harrison and the Bryan brothers for the US.

The Bryans are a formidable doubles act and will be favourites to take the third rubber for the US. Llodra and Benneteau are highly accomplished doubles players though and could cause problems on clay. Trading on doubles matches can be a little trickier as it can be tough to judge the ebbs and flows in a match and gauge the player’s mental states. This could be a match to consider some small trades on though if the Bryans take the opening set. Don’t rule out a French comeback.

Tsonga v Isner may be the tie of the weekend, and after defeating Federer on clay in the previous round, John Isner will be confident of causing another upset. Ordinarily you wouldn’t expect to see a lot of breaks when these two meet so trading would normally be difficult. On clay however, neither man should be able to rely on his serve so much and the odds could fluctuate wildly in the favour of a wily trader.

Elsewhere, the Czech Republic will be looking to upset 2010 Davis Cup winners, Serbia, who come into the tie without the World No.1, Novak Djokovic in their ranks.

The Czechs are actually the 8/13 favourites to win the tie and Tomas Berdych should be able to get them off to a winning start against Viktor Troicki. Things do get a little trickier after that though, so if the Czechs do take the first rubber, consider buying in on the drifting odds of the Serbs. Tipsarevic would like his chances of turning it around against Stepanek, the doubles is anyone’s, and then suddenly the reverse singles rubbers look altogether less comfortable for the Czechs.

Best Upcoming Trading Opportunities

The Family Circle Cup
Venus Williams v Sam Stosur
Serena Williams v Sabine Lisicki
Venus Williams v Serena Williams

The Davis Cup
Jo Wilfried Tsonga v John Isner
Gilles Simon v Ryan Harrison
Janko Tipsarevic v Radek Stepanek
Janko Tipsarevic v Tomas Berdych
Viktor Troicki v Radek Stepenek
France v USA
Czech Republic v Serbia


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