Tennis Trading News and Tips: 2 April 2012

Novak Djokovic’s third Miami Masters success ensured the World No.1 extended his ranking points lead over Rafa Nadal and Roger Federer, ahead of the clay court season, but the Miami event also saw plenty of great opportunities for some solid tennis trading.


Miami Masters

 The final here in Miami looked like it may potentially be a dream match-up for tennis traders, as Djokovic came up against the man who defeated him in the semi-finals of the Dubai event just four weeks ago. The Serb came in as the clear favourite, but Murray matches are normally real roller-coaster rides for the Scot and it was a surprise to see Djokovic maintain such a stranglehold throughout the entirety of the match. Murraystarted as a 2.3 and by the end of the opening set, had drifted out to 7.0.  He crept back in to around 4.0 after taking the second set to a tie-breaker, but even then it was the Serb who took control and things never really got close.

The match was a decent one if you were trading on the server to win games after falling behind. Murray only had one break point over the entire match, but did manage to get into a few 0-30 positions, before Novak came back to hold. The World No.1 broke twice in the opening set, once after being 40-0 down, but was pegged back each time he threatened to beak in the second.

Whilst it was disappointing to miss out on a couple of tennis trading dream matches, in the cases of Murray vs Raonic and Nadal vs Murray, traders were treated to a couple of highly fluctuating matches in the shape of Roddick v Federer and Alamgro v Fish (perfect matches for Scalping and Final Serve System).

A clear favourite going into the match, Federer drifted in the markets following his opening set defeat to Roddick (masses of money made on this set alone by anyone employing the Champ Winnings System), however when he quickly reasserted his authority in the second set, winning 6-1, the seemingly inevitable success of the Swiss was quickly displayed across all the markets. However,  Roddick retook control of the match and come through 6-4 in the decider.

The Almagro vs Fish quarter-final encounter told a similar story, as the two players couldn’t really be split by the ahead of the battle. The pair played out three doggedly fought sets, with fortunes fluctuating and break points aplenty throughout. These matches were a Traders dream, with huge liquidity and massive opportunities for trading profits.

Week Ahead

Not a lot happening on the ATP Tour this week, but the Davis Cup is back from Friday, as the eight remaining nations compete for a place in the semi-finals of the event.

Whether you’re a lover of the game or a tennis trader, it’s the France v USA tie which leaps straight from the page.

The USA find themselves in the quarter-finals having defeated Switzerland in their own backyard last time out. John Isner’s comfortable victory over Roger Federer was the stand-out result, but there’s another tough test awaiting the Americans as they travel toMonte Carloto face the French on the clay.

The clay courts should be enough to swing this tie in the favour of the French, but look out for John Isner playing in his first singles rubber. The big serving American has reached a couple of Masters 1000 event semis in recent months, as well a final in Indian Wells just last month. Add that to a victory over Federer, on clay in the Davis Cup already this year, and Isner’s odds against the likes of Tsonga, Simon or Monfils, could well be a little slimmer than they should realistically be.

The Isner serve should ensure he wins enough games to keep matches tight and interesting but my hunch is that he’ll eventually succumb to the more accomplished clay court players, so keep an eye on the fluctuations and consider buying in on his opponents when their odds begin to drift.

The Women

Victoria Azarenka couldn’t maintain her incredible winning start to 2012 in Miami last week, dropping out at the quarter-final stage to Bartoli, but the Belarusian did give us a couple of the best trading opportunities of the week, not only in her surprise defeat to Bartoli but also in losing the first set of her Fourth Round match-up with Cibulkova, 6-1, before taking the second set to a tight tie-breaker, and eventually coming through in the decider.

This week the women play at the Family Circle Cup in Charleston and whilst there is always great tennis trading potential in the women’s game, possible ties later in the week involving Venus, Serena, Lisicki and Bartoli, should all offer some great opportunities for trading.

Keep an eye on Tennis Trading League for twice-weekly round-ups on the week’s tennis and up-to-date tips on the best matches for trading.

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