Tennis Trading News and Tips– Friday 4th May 2012
The top names may be taking a well earned rest this week, but there are still three, high quality ATP events being played across Europe and the best of the rest are going all out to take advantage of the ranking points on offer.
As mentioned earlier in the week, this event has suffered badly from the withdrawal of its favourite and national hero, Novak Djokovic.
The highest ranked players who have turned up in Serbia, have been well focused so far though and we have a quarter-final line up consisting of five out of the top eight seeds.
For me, David Nalbandian is still the most likely man to take the title here. The conditions suit him and with a quarter-final against Brazil’s Joao Souza to come and a likely semi against Andreas Seppi, there’s very little to suggest we won’t see the Argentinean in the final.
On the other side of the draw, top seed Pablo Andujar has moved through well and should overcome Lukas Rosol in his quarter-final. A likely semi-final between Nieminen and Andujar on Saturday could be one of the best matches played here this week, and it’s tough to pick a winner. Regardless of the opponent, a fully firing Nalbandian should be able to see off either man in the final. Keep an eye on the quarters and semi’s if you’re using Tennis Trading League strategies – there should be close games and great liquidity.
I suggested here at the start of the week that pre-tournament favourite, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga was not performing well so far in 2012 and wasn’t keen on his prospects in a strong Munich field. The Frenchman was promptly dispatched in straight sets by veteran, Tommy Haas in his opening match.
We do still have a very strong line-up in the quarters with six of the top eight seeds making it to this stage. Feliciano Lopez is not the favourite with the tennis bookmakers but with a quarter-final match-up with Bernard Tomic to come, it’ll be a tough path through to the semis for Lopez.
The best looking match at this stage sees Marin Cilic come up against Mikhail Youzhny. This one could go the distance and is well worth looking at from a tennis trading perspective. Cilic is the favourite but both men will be confident and won’t let defeat in the opening set throw them off their game.
There are a couple of home favourites still in there with a chance in the shape of Tommy Haas and Philipp Kholschreiber. Haas performed so well in his victory of Tsonga that you have to give him every chance of success here. Kholschreiber will have a tough semi-final test against either Lopez or Tomic so it maybe a little tougher for him. A Lopez/Tomic v Haas final would be the most enticing final, giving the home crowd a chance to get behind their man.
Over in Portugal, it seems that Juan Martin Del Potro is intent on defending the crown he won here last year with a minimum effort. In the Argentinean’s opener against Pedro Sousa, Delpo romped to a 6-0, 6-1 victory and although a sterner test lies ahead in the quarters against Albert Montanes, this little to suggest Juan Martin won’t be here for Sunday’s final.
Match of the tournament so far came in the opening round match between Montanes and America’s Bobby Reynolds. Currently ranked at 127 in the world, 30-year-old Reynolds was a big outsider but managed to pinch the opening set off Montanes. Montanes did come back to claim victory and take his place in today’s match-up with Del Potro. This game was a brilliant one for traders, with plenty of break points and upsets on offer. Odds drifted significantly especially in the first set, making for some big trading profits.
Richard Gasquet looks to have the bottom half of the draw all to himself, and whilst a potential semi-final with Albert Ramos could prove tricky, I’d expect to see the Frenchman take his place in Sunday’s final; mostly likely against Del Potro.
Matches to watch this weekend:
Saturday: Jarrko Nieminen v Pablo Andujar
Sunday: Jarrko Nieminen v David Nalbandian
Friday: Marin Cilic v Mikhail Youzhny
Saturday: Philipp Kohlschreiber v Feliciano Lopez
Sunday: Feliciano Lopez v Tommy Haas
Friday – Juan Martin Del Potro v Albert Montanes
Saturday – Juan Martin Del Potro v Stanislaus Warwrinka
Sunday – Juan Martin Del Potro v Richard Gasquet