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Tennis Trading Examples from 19/02/2013

Hi Guys,

Just wanted to show you some screenshots from my activity on Betfair today.

Here’s a screenshot from Cibulkova – Petrova

18 quid Profit!!

Easy 18 quid profit as predicted with my tips today!!The right area shows what I have backed, what I have laid and precisely at what amounts!

Here’s another screenshot of a match that I was trading on.

All I did was watch the match as it progressed.

Devvarman was about to have match points when I felt like risking 5
quid was a very calculated risk. Paire came back and won that set, and
became the favourite which made me cash out 35 quid easy!

Pure example of good intuition but a very good calculated risk of 5 quid!

paire-devvarman intuition

All my tips are available to all visitors to the site until this Saturday when the membership will go live.
Book your place as one of the 300 by using the opt in form to the right – you wont be asked for any money until launch and even then you’re under no obligation to join  – but at least you’ll have the choice!! And you will get the chance to join 24hrs before Joe public get to join!! With only 300 places I’m confident that all places will be taken. Book yours now!!

Thanks Guys,

Patrick.

9 Comments

  • Peter Posted February 19, 2013 7:58 pm

    Nice to see some screenshoots from your trading and gratulate for all winning trading.
    I have one question when do you think the best exit point is when back heavy one player. For example in the Davis – Rybarikova game where should you have exit? The odds went down to 1.6 on Davis but I stayed in the trade and then came the break for Rybarikova.
    Should I have traded out at that point?
    Would be glad get some tips and pointers here what to do?

    • Patrick Ross Posted February 20, 2013 11:42 am

      Hi Peter

      Since I indeed tipped Davis here to do well and she didn’t, it was a
      rather hard one to trade this match in her favour. Here is what you
      should have done with an exit strategy in mind.

      If you were backing heavy on this match, having seen Davis broken
      first, you have 2 choices. Either wait out the first set or till tie
      break (safer option) or trade it out completely .

      Reason for letting the trade go on at least till a tie break is that
      WTA women can hardly serve out sets easily. You should always give the
      broken player a chance especially as the initial odds were pretty much
      the toss of a coin here.

      One thing to watch closely here is what is the serve stats of both
      players towards the end of the first set! I haven’t checked it yet as
      I wasn’t trading on this yesterday but I believe Rybarikova’s must
      have been better overall which includes return serve percentage etc.

      Always, remember if you are not sure of anything or feel like getting
      into a panic mode, trade out! Think about it later but trade it out
      first! It will save you lots of money in the future, I guarantee it.

      I hope I answered your questions.

      Cheers

  • Piotr Posted February 19, 2013 9:34 pm

    Hi Patrick what about *havy* bets today: Radwanska, Monilsvs ? Could You advice pls the proportion between heavy and standard bet, what ratio shall I use ? Thx and GL tomorrow

    • Patrick Ross Posted February 20, 2013 12:14 pm

      Hi Jesper

      Indeed the Radwanska match was a rather unlucky one for strategy and a
      very strange one. Reason being, this was a 3 setter but never went
      hugely in favour of the favourite Radwanska!

      In relation to when to trade out here’s my answer:

      Let’s look at the start of this match rather closely.

      Odds were 1.8 on Radwa at the start.She held her serve first game.
      Zheng held the next. The third game was dominated by Zheng here and
      she broke Radwa for a 2-1 lead. The odds at the time was 1.7 (ish) on
      Zheng. I would have waited for 2 more games personally. But even doing
      that this wasn’t good as Radwanska never looked good in her service
      games in the first set! Odds were swiftly going towards the 1.5 range.
      I personally would have traded out at this particular price!

      Indeed after the first set I believe Zheng’s odds was around or less
      than 1.3! (This would mean trading out at 1.5 indeed saved us some
      money)!

      However at this time, I would have laid something on Zheng just to get
      me in the Green Zone on Radwanska’s side. Note that I won’t be laying
      heavy here! Radwa indeed dominated the second set, which means while
      you are still in loss, your loss may have been halved after the second
      set. Since already this was a hard one to trade. I would completely
      trade out with this halved loss and closely monitor the match in the
      3rd and look for a better situation. Indeed there were many better
      situations as Zheng was 5-2 in the 3rd I believe so laying something
      on her again at that stage for a rather big amount but small liability
      was definitely good to completely cancel out all your losses and be in
      total Green Zone!

      Hence accepting certain losses at the start would make a big
      difference towards the end of this match. But like I said it was
      always chasing money in this trade as the favourite was never in a
      good lead in this match so it actually was not the easiest of markets
      to trade!

      Safer option: Eventhough I mentioned about backing Radwa heavy here,
      you can always wait for a few games before you do that. I always
      suggest waiting a few games 2 service games of each player just to see
      how they are serving and returning as it gives a lot of information!

      Cheers

  • Peter Posted February 20, 2013 1:25 pm

    Of course thanks alot for answering that helps me in future trades how to look at them and how to act.
    Just one more question regarding Monglis game what should I have done there? I traded out for a loss when the break came. Right or wrong?

    • Patrick Ross Posted February 21, 2013 11:58 am

      Hi Peter

      Of course you were right to trade out early with a loss as that match
      wouldn’t have been tipped as a 2-0 loss to Monfils before the match
      started!

      So well done in reducing your loss which could have been much worse!

      Cheers

  • Peter Posted February 20, 2013 2:51 pm

    By the way where can I find/see the serving stats?

    • Patrick Ross Posted February 20, 2013 6:43 pm

      Hi Peter

      So many sites you can check on. The official sites are wtatour.com and
      atpworldtour.com

      They get jammed due to traffic sometimes so I normally check on
      tennisbetsite.com

      Cheers

  • Peter Posted February 20, 2013 7:46 pm

    Thanks for the links Patrick

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