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Betfair Tennis Trading Tips: ATP WTA Friday 13th March

These tips are published when all have been played – in order to get today’s tips, join by clicking here and I’ll mail them to you!! To see stats and results, please click on the ‘TRADING STATS’ link above. 

All times are UK/Irish and are subject to change, and all times are in 24hr format e.g., 01.00 = 1am and 16:00 = 4pm:

PLEASE NOTE, IF THERE ARE LIQUIDITY ISSUES, ALWAYS KEEP THE STAKES LOW

BNP PARIBAS:

MEN:

1. 18:00 – Young v Busta

Donald Young’s form has been pretty impressive, playing really solid at both the Memphis and Delray Beach Hard court tourneys.

I feel he’s the right favourite here against Busta, who is known more as a clay courter.

—> Back Young @1.42, lay @1.15

2. 18:00 – Klizan v Andujar —> HOT TIP

Have to go for Klizan here as he is the better hard courter among these two.
Worth noting also that Andujar has lost 5 of his last 6 hard court matches which suggests that backing the Slovakian is the the wiser decision.

—> Back Klizan @1.66, lay @1.3

3. 19:30 – Querrey v Stakhovsky

Querrey is the slight favourite here and there is a possibility this may go to the American in 2 sets. However, I just can’t ignore Stakhovsky’s current form as this guy has looked much more rejuvenated in his last few tournaments.

The Ukranian only lost to Berdych at Dubai in 3 sets and to Simon at Marseille (the eventual winner), again in 3 sets.

The form is definitely with Stakho, so suggesting to lay the American.

—> Lay Querrey @1.87, back @2.4

4. 21:15 – Ito v Jaziri

It’s fair to say that Jaziri’s form has been poor since his defeat to Kyrgios at the Australian Open. However, Ito has hardly faced any good players recently, so the stats don’t say a lot.

I’m fancying the Tunisian to shine here simply due to his experience and his defensive qualities.

—> Back Jaziri @1.75, lay @1.35

5. 23:00 – Janowicz v Schwartzman –> HOT TIP

Since the Australian open Schwartzman has not played on any hard court events. On the contrary Jano has been focused on hard courts and has been playing well, as the tournament at Montpellier suggests.

This should be an easy win for the Pole.

—> Back Jano @1.28, lay @1.08

WOMEN:

6. 18:00 – Riske v Radwanska —> HOT TIP

I’ve suggested before that defensive minded players have more hope in these courts at Indian Wells. For that simple reason, I am favouring Radwanska today, who is already an accomplished hard courter.

—> Back Radwanska @1.22, lay @1.05

7. 19:45 – Bacsinszky v Erakovic

Since the Australian open loss to Muguruza in 3 sets, Timea Bacsinszky’s form has been pretty amazing as she has a 12 game winning streak which includes 2 back to back tournament titles at Acapulco and Monterrey in Mexico.
Simply putting, she’s the girl of the moment and I can’t see Erakovic beating her today.

—> Back Bacsinszky @1.3, lay @1.09

8. 21:30 – Pavlyuchenkova v Strycova

Strycova is definitely the right player to back here as her overall game, especially defense, is much sharper than the Russian’s.

A possible 3 setter but expecting the Czech to start better.

—> Back Strycova @1.72, lay @1.3

Good luck!

Some Terms Explained:

Back: Normal Stakes – use 10% of bank.
Back Heavy(BH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Lay: Normal stakes – use 10% of bank.
Lay Heavy(LH) – use up to 30% of bank. Used at members discretion. Delay and Trade.
Likely 3 Setter – consider laying the winner of the first set.
Hot Tip – I have more confidence in these tips. However, use normal stake sizes.

Tips are deemed unsuccessful at 40% loss of stake.

All odds shown with the tips are correct at time of publishing. Odds are often given several hours ahead of the event. If odds have changed, adjust your back/lay stake accordingly e.g. if I tip ‘Back at 1.5, Lay at 1.25’ – and back odds move to 1.55, adjust your lay odds to 1.3 – there are still 25 ticks between the back and lay odds.

Delay and Trade!! It’s OK to place your trades before the match starts, but in my opinion, waiting 2/3 games before placing your trades is the safest way to trade. This is advised in many of the articles below. To delay and trade will give you a good feel for the match. Delay and Trade is a MUST if you are Backing Heavy. Delaying is advised mostly for the women’s game, as early breaks of serve are more likely.  Please read the relevant article below.

Please read all of the articles below if you are new to the tips!

Help and Advice: The Best Way to Use Tips From Tennis Trading League

Help and Advice: Stop Loss

Help and Advice: Delay and Trade

Help and Advice: Trading On Betfair Website Without Using Software.

Help and Advice: Equalise Profits or Put More Money on the Favourite?

Help and Advice: Recycling the Green

Help and Advice: Rules of Tennis Trading

Help and Advice: Letting the Trade Run…

Help and Advice: What Do The Stats Say?

Help and Advice: In-Depth Trading

Help and Advice: Heavy Favourite in the Red Zone

Help and Advice: Greening Out

Help and Advice: The Golden Green

Help and Advice: Dealing with a Bad Streak

Help and Advice: Multiple Trades during a Match

Help and Advice: What should you do if your player gets injured in a tennis match that you’re trading? Find out here…

Help and advice: What do you do if a Back Heavy Tip isn’t going your way? Find out here…

Help and Advice: Dangers of chasing an in-form player

Help and Advice: Tennis Trading Tip – Successful or not?

Some folks have asked why I call the tips ‘Betfair Tennis Trading Tips’ and have asked if the tips can be used on other betting exchanges. I use Betfair for all my trading because Betfair has the best liquidity. All of my prices are taken from Betfair.
Betfair Tennis Trading gives you the best opportunities to make profits. You can use the trading tips on other exchanges – there may be small price differences – but these shouldn’t matter. If you decide to use a site other that Betfair for trading, make sure that the liquidity is there.
If you’re unsure about what liquidity is required, see question 17 on my FAQ section at https://tennis-trading-league.com/faq/

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